Why doesn't Russia manage Siberia itself?俄罗斯为啥自己不经营西伯利亚
1. Where did Siberia in Russia come from?
2. History of Siberia
1. Soviet era
2. After the collapse of the Soviet Union
Third, why are you willing to let China enter the game?
1. Poor infrastructure
2. Poor economic development
3. Local complex social ecology
Four, the end
Author's core point of view:
The reason why Russia decided to open Siberia to China was not because "Russia-China relations have a long history and are indestructible." It was more a helpless move with more than enough will and insufficient power. Although it was unwilling, there was no other way.
China just needs the resources of the Far East, so for China, this is a good thing that it can't wait for
However, in the process of developing in Siberia, enterprises or individuals will inevitably experience countless blood and tears, so please do not try it lightly
1. Where did Siberia in Russia come from?
In fact, this matter has been mentioned in the article some time ago. Russia cannot manage Siberia, and sooner or later China will do it. Open a topic today and talk about it in depth.
First of all, Siberia is cold and empty, and there are still people in the south, and the climate is close to the arctic in the north, and only polar bears can be seen. During Tsarist Russia, that place was an uncovered prison.
You may not know that Tsarist Russia's conquest of such a large Siberia did not mean that hundreds of thousands of troops went out of the Ural Mountains and went deep into the wilderness, laying down a territory larger than China for the empire.
Instead, batch after batch of Cossack adventurers went to the hinterland of the Far East with the dream of making a fortune. These people were basically in the hundreds, rarely more than a thousand. Every time a key location is reached, a fortress is built, and then the local people are conquered around the fortress, and then the conquered people are taken to repair the rest. The cities along the way, such as Irkutsk and Yakutsk, all came from this way. Of course, it was also related to the gun revolution. At that time, the Russian army had been equipped with muskets, which had some advantages over those tribes.
At the same time, the fur trade was carried out locally, and the furs were sold to Europe. After making money from Europe, they bought guns and used guns to expand their territory. A positive feedback loop is formed, and the occupied area is getting bigger and bigger.
Then it extends all the way to the present Vladivostok, and in the middle it goes south to China. For example, everyone knows that there was a battle, the Battle of Yaksa, when the Cossack expedition team built a fortress on the territory of the Qing Dynasty. The Qing Dynasty was angry and rushed out to fight. The war was very difficult. The first time the city was destroyed, the second time it could not be attacked, so the city was besieged for nine months with local methods. The Russians couldn't bear it and surrendered, and finally drove the Russians out. gone.
Only two hundred years later, the Russians made a comeback, and that city was taken away again, which is now Albazino in Russia.
Now everyone sees that Tsarist Russia's expansion path in Siberia is almost along the current Siberian Railway. In other words, the fortresses were first built along the expansion route, and then these fortresses were connected by railways.
The Trans-Siberian Railway runs along the southernmost border of Russia. This is why the Soviet Union had to cut Outer Mongolia out later, because if Mongolia was China's territory, the entire eastern section of the Siberian Railway would be exposed under our noses, which was totally unacceptable to the Soviet Union. So no matter what, Mongolia must be cut out to protect the lifeline of the railway.
2. History of Siberia
Today, those Russian cities in Siberia are more embarrassing than each other.
First of all, the population is very small. For example, Irkutsk, which is well known to the Chinese, is basically 100% of people who travel to Siberia will go to this city. It is as big as five Shandong provinces, but only has a population of about two million. It is the largest port city in the Far East. Vladivostok, with a population of more than 900,000, is also at the level of county-level cities and prefecture-level cities in China.
On this scale, it took hundreds of years of unremitting efforts of Tsarist Russia and the Soviet Union to make it like this.
At that time, Tsarist Russia mainly sent criminals to Siberia. Similar to the early Bolsheviks, most of them had the experience of going to Siberia for further study. Comrade Stalin visited and studied in Siberia six times. The "Prophet" Trotsky even found love during his exile. .
1. Soviet era
After the establishment of the Soviet Union, this policy continued, and the distribution scale was very, very large. For example, the well-known Chechens were signed by Stalin, and the entire nation was sent to Siberia for transformation. Later they had a violent quarrel, and Khrushchev sent them back again.
In addition, some other stimulus policies were adopted. As we all know, the Soviet army was very wild in wars. The Soviet army often did it when other countries generally did not appear in crowds. This is why a battle is often fought several times German casualties.
In this context, the Soviet Union once issued a policy that if you don't want to go to the battlefield, you can consider going to Siberia to farm. It just so happened that the Soviets were also "eclectic". If you asked them to go to the Far East, they would not do it. You asked them to choose one of the Far East and the Soviet-German battlefield, and everyone rushed to sign up to farm. Later, in order not to affect the front-line combat troops, this option was not given.
In addition, there are many passionate young members of the Communist Youth League who are dedicated to building the country voluntarily, similar to the Paul prototype we are familiar with. As a Ukrainian, he has always yearned to go to the most difficult areas, and was later sent to repair the railway. Many of his Comrades were sent to Siberia.
After the war, the relocation continued, and countless Komsomolsk cities were established in the Far East. A large number of Russians, Ukrainians, and Kazakhs were moved to these Komsomolsk cities to dig coal, mine, and oil.
For example, the famous Novosibirsk, an important town in the Far East, used to be a village, a completely man-made city. After the outbreak of World War II, a large number of scientific researchers and workers were transferred here to develop industries on a large scale. After the war, they continued to attract people here. Now There are 2.7 million people.
Another example is the famous Yakutia, where the aborigines are all yellow races like us, famous for producing gold and diamonds. That place is very, very cold, and half of the land is in the Arctic Circle. You can imagine how harsh the natural conditions are.
During the Stalin period, he wanted everyone to dig for gold, but no one wanted to go, so a large number of prisoners were recruited to go, and they would be released after digging enough gold, just like Wagner's mercenaries today. Later, when Khrushchev came to power, he rehabilitated everyone, and there were no more prisoners. What should we do?
They had no choice but to organize immigrants to go there, promising generous treatment, and nearly 200,000 people went to Yakutia to dig gold and diamonds. In addition, there is the Sakhalin Island that we are familiar with. They are called Sakhalin Island. The oil production there was first forced by the Soviet government, and then even coaxed and tricked everyone to go. Now such a big Sakhalin state, only less than 500,000 people, still the size of a county seat.
These people didn't know how difficult the place was before they went. Some of them knew it, but the government said that it had built a large number of supporting facilities and promised to allocate housing, so everyone hesitated to go.
After going there, I was dumbfounded, it was freezing and snowy, and I couldn't go back. The general conditions in those Gongqingcheng cities are very difficult, and materials need to be transported from thousands of miles away, especially vegetables. The living conditions can be imagined. The Soviet Union was very strict in the beginning, and they couldn't run around casually. Later, the control was gradually loosened, and the people in Gongqingcheng fled on a large scale, and ran back to the western cities, and gradually those Gongqingcheng were abandoned.
If the population flees, it must be due to the bad economy, and naturally it is impossible to vigorously build if the economy is not good. More importantly, with such a small scale, it is not cost-effective to build public facilities. Of course, the main reason is that Russia doesn’t have much money, and only when it’s short of money will it always consider cost-effectiveness.
2. After the collapse of the Soviet Union
After the disintegration of the Soviet Union, both Yeltsin and Putin wanted to revitalize the old industrial base in Siberia, but the results were not very good. On the one hand, there was indeed a shortage of money, and Siberia was too big, and it would be gone once the money was spread out; On the other hand, the sky is high and the emperor is far away, there is no decent person, everyone is greedy if they can, and the effect is even worse.
Poor infrastructure makes many projects impossible to carry out. When I wrote about Russia last time, a reader who was doing business there told me that his uncle was very rich. He used to be a coal boss in Shanxi and was very experienced in coal mining.
The Russian local government had a coal mine, which was dismantled before it was discovered in the Soviet Union. The local people always wanted to dig it themselves, but they had no experience and money. I heard that the Chinese had dug coal before, and I wanted them to do it. Of course, it is reasonable to say that the Russian central government does not allow Chinese companies to dig casually, but in the Far East, the government's decision to allow or not is very dynamic, depending on your relationship with the local leaders.
His uncle looked around and felt that this matter was really impossible, because if he wanted to open the mine, he had to build hundreds of kilometers of roads first, and this project was beyond the reach of a small boss like him. Before digging coal in Shanxi, I never thought about the fact that it would not be able to be transported out. Nowadays, in order to mine, we have to do infrastructure construction first, which is really an "unimagined path".
Third, why are you willing to let China enter the game?
This actually exposed a dead end in the Russian Far East. The easy-to-dig mines and resources close to the main traffic roads have almost been dug out, and the more difficult places need corresponding infrastructure. But if you want to build infrastructure, you have to wait to earn money from mining. As you can see, it is deadlocked.
1. Poor infrastructure
In addition, the "road" that Russia talks about is not the same thing as what we talk about. I went to no-man’s land some time ago. Since there are almost no sports cars in that place, the road in no-man’s land is the kind of dirt road that is directly flattened by a road roller. This kind of road is rare in China, you have to go to no man's land to see it. But it is different in Russia. Many main roads are also dirt roads. The roads are full of potholes. Once it rains, it will be muddy.
It's also because the economy is really bad. People can't make money when they go there. It's cold and desolate. After going there, they will doubt life. Who am I? ?
So naturally, the population of Siberia has declined significantly in recent years, especially young people. If they are capable, they will go to big cities. If they are super capable, they will go to the "Twin Cities". In the end, a group of people who were basically uneducated and made a living by farming, hunting and mining remained. It just so happens that this group of people is the backbone of the Russian army (the former backbone was Ukrainians), and the conscription is mainly from these people.
2. Poor economic development
Today's Russia is far from Siberia, and it is in a half-dead state. It wants to develop but has no money. Without development, the economy will become worse and worse, and the population will continue to lose, and there will be no chance for future development.
I understand this is why Russia recently opened up the Far East to China. After all, it is not open, and that place is gradually becoming completely hollow. If it is completely vacant, it will be occupied by the Chinese sooner or later. If it is opened up, if China can find a way to invigorate the economy and attract people from the east, it will not be completely hollowed out.
3. Local complex social ecology
But what must be said is that everyone should not rush there to toss as soon as their brains get hot. My reader friend told me that Siberia and China are completely different things. Government officials, the police, and the underworld are three in one. Who should you go to for anything? It's very particular, and if you don't get it right, you can't get it right. All of these need to be tossed with the old fritters who hang out there for a few years before they can learn.
And what is different from what many people understand is that in Siberia, the sense of presence of the government is very weak. Due to financial problems, the government itself does not provide too many public services, so its influence is very general. Even many public officials have two jobs. The most obvious thing is that the police are in charge of hooligans at work, and they themselves are hooligans after get off work. Many things are resolved by the people themselves, so Russia has a first-tier big city, and there are also a large number of "godfathers" who maintain grassroots autonomy.
In this case, the government’s words are not so easy to use. For example, a very funny thing, saying that the government has approved a project for you, does not mean that the matter can be done, but that the government has given you the green light. Whether you can deal with other forces is your own business, and you can find a way to solve it yourself.
My reader friend once said that when his uncle arrived in Siberia, Putin was engaged in the development of Siberia at that time, and he easily obtained government approval to let the Chinese cut down trees. But those companies that were approved quickly withdrew because they couldn't stand the endless harassment from various local organizations. Today they are hooligans, tomorrow they are gangsters, and the day after tomorrow they come to the fire brigade. It's endless, and I even wonder why there are so many messy organizations in a small city with more than a hundred thousand people. Don't everyone go to work to be a gangster?
Go to the government, and the government will ask them to fill out a form to register, and after the registration, the matter will disappear. Later, I realized that this was an unspoken rule of Russia, and the funds given by the top were too small, so I followed the Soviet practice: the top pretended to pay the bottom, and the bottom pretended to be at work.
The general way to pretend is to "follow the procedure". You go to the government to do something a little more complicated, and they don't have the resources to do it for you, so they let you register. After a few days, you go to them to ask how it is, and they let you Supplementary materials, anyway, make things difficult for you until you realize that you have made a mistake and should not go to the government.
How did his uncle solve it? It was also a coincidence. Later, I drank too much with a government official. The official said that they had hired the wrong person.
We should go to a retired old policeman. He takes black and white and has a deep foundation in the local area. If you give him money, you can solve it. So they went to drink with this policeman again, and later negotiated a sharing agreement. The old policeman sent two younger brothers to squat in their forest farm, and the other gangsters really didn't go.
The same is true for other projects. Large projects are harassed by big hooligans, and small projects are harassed by small hooligans. The key is to find the key person in charge. If you can’t find them, or they have already negotiated with others, you should pack up and withdraw. Of course, the government does not completely ignore things, sometimes it does, more randomly, depending on luck.
Four, the end
Speaking of which, I am not going to talk about it anymore, and everyone should have felt that Russia as a whole is a country similar to India, especially at the grassroots level, especially at the grassroots level in Siberia.
In the long run, there is a high probability that Siberia's resources will become China's game field, because they can't handle it by themselves. In order to avoid the Far East being completely empty, they can only develop the economy, but they have to rely on China for development.
China just happens to have this idea, after all, so many people have passed these years. However, when it is implemented, there will be countless blood and tears. In the future, the Far East may become hotter and hotter like Africa in the past few years. But everyone must be vigilant, that place is similar to Africa, some people get rich and others suffer, people who don't have special acquaintances should not easily participate in that stuff.
On May 11, Bauer, chairman of the NATO Military Council, expressed his position.
He said that NATO is preparing a military plan against Russia, Russia, just wait and see!
The word "plan" is too imaginative.
Isn't this testing my brother Pu's attitude?
It means that we only intend to carry out military activities, but we have not implemented them yet. We need time to plan and plan. If you, Russia, do not want to go to war with NATO, take advantage of this and withdraw from Ukraine immediately.
This is clearly threatening Russia.
But who is Putin?
You know, Russia has always been known for its toughness. If the United States and NATO dare to face it head-on, Russia will dare to face it head-on.
In the face of the signal released by NATO, Medvedev also responded to the same degree. Medvedev said, by doing this at NATO, isn't it just trying to start World War III?
Don't you NATO want to fight? As long as you dare to fire the first shot, you will surely be blamed for the three wars.
Once back and forth, NATO was pushed to the highest peak of public opinion.
Medvedev also said that if the three wars really broke out, there would be no so-called winners, which would be a disaster for Russia and even the whole world.
Isn't that obvious enough?
I, Russia, don't want to go to war either. This war is not good for me, Russia. It's all because of your repeated bullying by NATO, and I, Russia, have to fight back.
Although I don’t know when this war will start, what is certain is that once NATO starts a war with Russia, the first country to be destroyed will be Poland, which has always regarded Russia as a "thorn in the eye and a thorn in the flesh".
As early as in the previous article, the editor analyzed that the enmity between Russia and Poland has not lasted for a day or two. This time NATO's declaration of war will just allow Russia to destroy Poland in a grandiose manner.
After all, when the Russo-Ukraine war broke out, Russia expressed its attitude. If NATO dared to go to war with Russia, then Poland would disappear from the world!
Putin's attitude towards Poland is even more unbearable. He has emphasized the military strength comparison between Russia and Poland more than once, and has threatened Poland several times, advising him not to jump up and down again, just be honest.
Russia is very likely to spread the flames of war to Poland first, and use Poland's destruction to give NATO a warning.
This is the fate of angering Russia!
Unexpectedly, Ukraine has repeatedly provoked, NATO has fanned the flames, and the United States has secretly played tricks. In the end, Poland was the first to be hurt.
And once Poland is involved, even if NATO doesn't want to fight, it has to bite the bullet.
If this situation continues, Poland will be the first to be involved in the flames of war, and NATO will follow. The United States, the boss behind the scenes, will not let it go.
After all, the United States has always regarded Russia as its number one enemy. This Russo-Ukrainian war was provoked by the United States in order to bring down Russia.
As far as the United States is concerned, once it has the opportunity to defeat Russia, it will rush forward at all costs.
When the United States goes to war with Russia, he will definitely put all his energy into this war, and he will certainly reduce the siege and interception of China.
By then, China will have a breathing space.
Taiwan's problems, presumably will also get a better solution.
War is never a joke. Once the war starts, it will be like a snowball, and it will spread rapidly as the two sides continue to increase their stakes. It will be almost impossible to stop it when the time comes.
What NATO is facing is not only a Russia, but also more investment in military equipment and a large amount of capital expenditure.
Judging from the current situation of NATO, it is difficult to support the consequences of a war with Russia.
Where does NATO go this time?
一，俄国的西伯利亚咋来的
二，西伯利亚发展史
1，苏联时期
2，苏联解体后
三，为啥愿意让中国入局
1，基础设施差
2，经济发展差
3，当地复杂的社会生态
四，结尾
作者核心观点：
俄罗斯之所以决定对中国开放西伯利亚，并非因为“俄中关系源远流长，坚不可摧”，更多是心有余而力不足的无奈之举，虽然不愿意，但也没其他办法，毕竟自己根本无力经营。
中国恰好需要远东的资源，所以对于中国来讲，这是求之不得的好事
但企业或个人在去西伯利亚发展的过程中，必然会经历无数血泪史，所以请不要轻易尝试
一，俄国的西伯利亚咋来的
这事其实前段时间文章里已经提到了，俄罗斯是没法经营西伯利亚的，迟早会让中国去搞。今天开一个专题，深入聊下。
首先要说，西伯利亚那地方，又冷，又空，南边一些还有人烟，往北就接近北极气候了，只能看到北极熊。在沙俄时期，那地方就是个没有盖的监狱。
大家可能不知道，沙俄征服那么大的西伯利亚，并不是几十万大军出乌拉尔山，深入蛮荒，给帝国打下了超过中国那么大的领土。
而是一批一批的哥萨克冒险家，怀着发财梦想，前往远东腹地，这些人基本都是几百人，很少过千。每到一个关键位置，就修建要塞，然后以要塞为中心到处征服当地民族，再带着被征服的民族去修理剩下的。沿途的那些城市，什么伊尔库兹克，什么雅库茨克，都是这么来的。当然了，也跟枪炮革命有关，当时俄军已经装备了滑膛枪，对那些部落有一些优势。
同时在当地开展毛皮贸易，把毛皮卖到欧洲，从欧洲赚钱之后买枪炮，用枪炮扩张领土。形成了一个正反馈循环，占领的面积越来越大。
然后一直延伸到现在的海参崴，中间还南下到了中国这边。比如大家知道有一次战役，雅克萨之战，就是哥萨克远征队把要塞修到了大清的领土上，大清怒了，冲出去一顿打。战争非常艰苦，第一次毁掉了那座城，第二次死活攻不动，于是用土办法，把那座城围了九个月，俄国人扛不住出来投降，终于把俄国人给赶走了。
只是过了两百年，俄国人卷土重来，那座城又被抢走了，也就是现在的俄罗斯阿尔巴津诺。
现在大家看沙俄在西伯利亚的扩张之路，几乎就是沿着现在的西伯利亚大铁路。或者说，先沿着扩张路线修建要塞，后来通过铁路把这些要塞连了起来。
而西伯利亚大铁路，就是贴着俄罗斯最南边的边界往前走的。这也是为啥后来苏联一定要把外蒙古切出去，因为如果蒙古国是中国的地盘，整个西伯利亚铁路东段就会暴露在我们的眼皮底下，这是苏联完全不能接受的。所以无论如何也要把蒙古国切出去，保护铁路这条生命线。
二，西伯利亚发展史
如今俄罗斯在西伯利亚的那些城市，一个比一个尴尬。
首先是人口规模非常小，比如中国人熟知的伊尔库兹克，去西伯利亚旅游基本上100%会去这个城市，有五个山东那么大，却只有两百来万人口，远东最大的港口城市海参崴，90多万人口，也就中国县级市和地级市的水平。
就这规模，还是经过了沙俄苏联几百年的不懈努力才搞成这样。
沙俄那会儿主要是向西伯利亚发派罪犯，类似早期布尔什维克，大都有去西伯利亚进修学习的经历，斯大林同志曾经六次到西伯利亚参观学习，“先知”托洛茨基甚至在流放过程中找到了爱情。
1，苏联时期
苏联成立后，延续了这个政策，并且发配规模非常非常大，比如咱们熟知的车臣人，就是斯大林签署了命令，整个民族被送去西伯利亚接受改造。后来他们闹得很凶，赫鲁晓夫又把他们送了回去。
此外还采取了一些别的刺激政策，大家知道，苏军打仗是很野的，其他国家一般不咋出现的人海冲锋，苏军经常干，这也是为啥一场仗打下来，经常好几倍德军伤亡。
这个背景下，苏联一度出台了一个政策，如果不想去战场，可以考虑去西伯利亚种地。正好苏联人也是“折中主义”的，你让他们去远东，他们不干，你让他们在远东和苏德战场选一个，大家争相报名去种地。后来为了不影响一线作战部队，不给这种选项了。
此外还有不少热血沸腾，一心建设国家的年轻共青团员自愿前往，类似咱们熟知的保尔原型，他作为一个乌克兰人，一直向往去最艰苦的地区，后来被送去修铁路，不少他的同志就被送到西伯利亚了。
战后继续迁，在远东成立了无数的共青城，大量的俄罗斯人，乌克兰人，哈萨克斯坦人都被迁到了这些共青城中，挖煤，挖矿，挖石油。
比如著名的新西伯利亚，远东重镇，这个城市以前是个村，彻彻底底的人造城市，二战爆发后把大量的科研人员和工人转移到这里，大规模发展工业，战后继续往这里拉人，如今有270万人口。
再比如著名的雅库特，那地方的土著都是跟咱们一样的黄种人，以生产黄金和钻石著名。那地方非常非常冷，有一半的土地在北极圈，自然条件多恶劣大家能想象得到。
斯大林时期就想让大家去挖金子，可是谁都不愿意去，于是征调了大量的囚徒去，挖够金子就可以获释，跟现在的瓦格纳雇佣军似的。后来赫鲁晓夫上台，给大家平反了，没囚犯了，怎么办？
只好组织移民去那地方，许诺很丰厚的待遇，前后有近20万人前往雅库特挖黄金和钻石。此外还有咱们熟知的库页岛，他们叫萨哈林岛，那地方产石油，也是苏联政府先强制，后来连哄带骗让大家去，如今那么大的一个撒哈林州，只有不到五十万人，依旧是个县城规模。
这些人去之前并不知道那地方有多艰苦，有的本来是知道的，可是政府说已经修建了大量的配套设施，并且答应分房，大家犹犹豫豫就去了。
去了之后傻眼了，冰天雪地，也回不去。那些共青城里普遍条件非常艰苦，物资需要从千里之外运过来，尤其蔬菜，生活条件可想而知。苏联一开始管的很紧，不能随便乱跑。后来慢慢管的松了，共青城里的老百姓大规模出逃，跑回了西部城市，慢慢那些共青城也就荒废了。
人口逃离，肯定是经济不好，经济不好自然也不可能大力度搞建设。更关键的是，这么小的规模，修建公共设施就很不划算了。当然了，主要是俄罗斯也没啥钱，缺钱才会成天考虑性价比，越考虑越觉得不划算，导致现在远东很多地方的公路还是前苏联时期修的。
2，苏联解体后
苏联解体后，无论是叶利钦还是普京都想振兴西伯利亚老工业基地，可是效果都不太好，一方面确实缺钱，西伯利亚又太大，一均摊就没了，钱撒下去连个响都没；另一方面那地方天高皇帝远，没一个体面人，大家能贪就贪，效果就更差了。
糟糕的基础设施，让很多项目根本没法开展。上次写俄罗斯时候一个在那边做买卖的读者就跟我讲，他舅舅非常有钱，之前在山西做煤老板，对挖煤很有经验。
俄罗斯当地政府有个煤矿，苏联时期刚探明还没来得及挖就解体了，当地一直想自己挖，可是没经验也没钱，听说这帮中国人之前挖过煤，想让他们去挖。当然了，按理说俄罗斯中央政府是不让中国企业去随便挖的，只是在远东，政府让不让的事非常动态，取决于你跟当地领导的关系。
他舅去看了一圈，觉得这事确实没法搞，因为想开矿，还得先修几百公里的路，这个工程可不是他这样的小老板能解决的。之前在山西挖煤，就没想过挖出来运不出去的事。如今为了挖矿还得先搞基建这个操作，着实属于“未曾设想的道路”了。
三，为啥愿意让中国入局
这其实就暴露了一个俄罗斯远东的死局，靠近交通主干道的、好挖的矿和资源已经差不多挖光了，比较难的那些地方需要对应的基建才行。可是想修基建，就得等靠挖矿赚到钱。大家看到了吧，死锁了。
1，基础设施差
此外俄罗斯说的“路”，跟咱们说的不是一码事。我前段时间去了趟无人区嘛，那地方由于几乎不跑车，无人区里的公路是那种压路机直接压平之后的土路。这种路在中国是很少见的，你得去无人区才能看得到。但是在俄罗斯就不一样了，很多主干道也是这种土路，路上坑坑洼洼，一旦要是下点雨，泥泞不堪，这交通情况，对交通工具伤害特别大，经济能发展起来有了鬼了。
也正是因为经济实在是不行，大家去了那边也赚不到钱，又冷，又荒，去了之后会怀疑人生，我是谁，我脑子有啥病，为啥要来这种地方？
所以自然而然地，这些年西伯利亚人口下降很明显，尤其年轻人，能力强就去大城市，能力超强就去“双城”，如果能力爆表，那可能就去德国或者美国了。最后剩下了一群基本没文化，靠种地打猎挖矿为生的一群人。恰好这群人又是俄罗斯军队的中坚（以前的中坚是乌克兰人），征兵主要从这些人里征。
2，经济发展差
如今的俄罗斯远东西伯利亚，处于一个半死不活的状态，想发展，没钱。不发展，经济越来越不行，人口继续流失，将来想发展也没机会了。
我理解这也是为啥俄罗斯最近把远东开放给了中国，毕竟不开放，那地方逐步在走向彻底的空心，如果彻底空出来，迟早被中国人给占了。如果开放了，中国要是能想办法把经济给搞活了，把东部的人吸引过去，不至于彻底空心化。
3，当地复杂的社会生态
但是必须要说的是，大家不要脑子一热就跑去那里折腾。我的读者小伙伴跟我说，西伯利亚跟中国完全是两码事，政府官员、警察、黑社会三位一体，什么事该找什么人，找什么人需要说什么话，说什么话需要备什么礼，都有非常深的讲究，弄不对根本搞不定事。这些都需要先跟着在那边混的老油条折腾一些年才有心得。
而且跟很多人理解不一样的是，在西伯利亚，政府的存在感是很弱的，政府因为财政问题，本身也不提供太多公共服务，所以影响力很一般。甚至很多公职人员都有两份工，最明显的，警察上班管流氓，下班自己就是流氓。很多事都是民间自己解决，于是俄罗斯出了一线大城市，也有大量"教父"，维持基层自治。
这种情况下，政府的话就不那么好使，比如一个很搞笑的事，说政府给你批了什么项目，并不是说这事儿就可以办了，而是说政府给你开了绿灯，具体能不能搞定其他势力，那是你自己的事，你自己想办法解决吧。
我的读者小伙伴就讲过一件事，说他舅当初到了西伯利亚，那时候普京正在搞西伯利亚大开发，很容易就拿到了政府批文，让华人去砍树。但是获批的那些企业很快就都退出了，因为受不了当地各种组织没完没了的骚扰，今天是小流氓，明天是黑社会，后天又来了消防队，打又打不过，给钱又没完没了，甚至有点纳闷，十来万人的小城市，怎么这么多乱七八糟的组织，难道大家都不上班去做黑社会了？
去找政府，政府就让他们填表登记，登记完了这事就石沉大海。后来知道这是俄罗斯的潜规则，上边给的经费太少了，于是按照苏联惯例：上边装作给下边发工资，下边装作在上班。
一般装的途径就是"走程序"，你去找政府搞什么稍微复杂点的事，他们没资源给你搞，就让你登记，过几天你去找他们询问咋样了，他们就让你补充材料，反正各种为难你，直到你意识到自己是不是犯了一个错误，不该去找政府。
他舅是怎么解决的呢？也是巧合，后来跟一个政府官员喝多了，那个官员说是他们找错人了，俄罗斯基层政府只解决分内事，分外的一点都不会管，也管不了。
应该去找一个退休的老警察，那人黑白通吃，在当地根基非常深，给他塞钱，就能解决。于是他们又去找这个警察喝，后来谈妥了分成协议，那个老警察派了两个小弟蹲在他们林场，其他混混果然不去了。
其他项目也一样，大项目有大流氓骚扰，小项目有小流氓骚扰，关键得找到关键负责人，如果找不到，或者人家已经和别人谈妥了，你就赶紧收拾撤了吧。当然了，政府也不是完全不管事，有时候也管，比较随机，看运气。
四，结尾
说到这里不准备往下聊了，大家应该也感觉到了，俄罗斯整体上是一个跟印度差不多的国家，尤其基层，尤其西伯利亚这种基层的基层。
长期来看，西伯利亚的资源大概率会成为中国的游戏场，因为他们自己彻底搞不定，为了避免远东彻底空了，只能是发展经济，可是想发展就得借助中国。
中国恰好也有这方面的想法，毕竟这些年已经过去了那么多人。不过具体实施的时候，又会有无数的血泪史。接下来远东可能跟前几年的非洲似的，变得越来越热。不过大家一定要提高警惕，那地方也跟非洲似的，有人发财有人遭殃，没有特别熟的人不要轻易参与那玩意。
5月11日，北约军事委员会主席鲍尔表态了。
他称，北约正在准备对俄军事计划，俄罗斯你等着瞧吧！
“计划“二字，也太让人浮想联翩了。
这不就是在试探我普哥的态度吗？
意思就是，我们只是打算进行军事活动，但还没有执行，需要时间计划计划，你俄罗斯要是不想和北约开战的话，就趁着现在，马上给我撤出乌克兰。
这分明是在威胁人家俄罗斯。
但普京是什么人？
要知道，俄罗斯一向以刚硬著称，美北约敢正面来，我俄罗斯就敢正面刚。
面对北约释放的信号，梅德韦杰夫也给予了同样程度的回击，梅德韦杰夫称，北约你这样做，不就是试图开启第三次世界大战吗？
你北约不是想打仗吗？你只要敢打响第一枪，这三战的锅你是背定了。
一来一回之间，把北约推向舆论最高峰。
梅德韦杰夫还表示，如果真的爆发了三战，就不可能出现所谓的赢家，这对于俄罗斯，乃至于整个世界来说，都是一场灾难。
这意思还不够明显吗？
我俄罗斯也不想开战，这场战争对我俄罗斯一点好处都没有，全是你们北约一而再再而三欺人太甚，我俄罗斯不得不被迫还击。
虽然不知道这场战争何时开打，但可以确定的是，一旦北约与俄罗斯开战，那么第一个覆灭的国家，是一直将俄罗斯视为“眼中钉，肉中刺“的波兰。
早在之前的文章里，小编就分析过，俄罗斯与波兰之间的仇怨也不是一天两天了，这次北约的宣战，正好能让俄罗斯堂而皇之地灭掉波兰。
毕竟，俄乌战争爆发之时，俄罗斯就表明了态度，如果北约敢和俄罗斯开战，那么波兰就会从世界上消失！
普京对于波兰的态度更是忍无可忍，他不止一次强调过俄罗斯与波兰之间军事实力的对比，也数次威胁过波兰，劝他不要再上蹿下跳，老实待着吧你
俄罗斯很有可能先将战火蔓延至波兰，用波兰的覆灭，来给北约一个警告。
这就是惹怒俄罗斯的下场！
没想到啊，乌克兰一再挑衅，北约煽风点火，美国暗中使坏，到最后，先受到伤害的却是波兰。
而一旦波兰被牵扯其中，北约就算不想打，也得硬着头皮上了。
照这个形势发展下去，波兰率先被波及战火，北约随后而上，作为幕后老板的美国，也不会放任不管的。
毕竟，美国一直将俄罗斯视为头号仇敌，这场俄乌战争，就是美国为了拖垮俄罗斯而费尽心思挑起的。
对于美国来讲，一旦有机会打倒俄罗斯，就会不惜一切代价冲上去。
当美国与俄罗斯开战，那么他必然把所有的心力投入这场战争中，势必也会减少对中国的围截拦堵。
到那时，中国就有了喘息之机了。
台湾方面的问题，想必也会得到更好的解决方案。
战争，从来不是一个玩笑，一旦战争开始，就如同滚滚雪球，会随着两方的不断加码，迅速蔓延，到时候再想让它停下来，几乎是不可能了。
北约所面对的，不仅仅是一个俄罗斯，还有更多军事装备投入，以及大量的资金的支出。
照北约目前情况来看，很难支撑与俄罗斯开战所带来的后果。
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