China and the United States shine swords, the storm is really coming中美亮剑，暴风雨真的来了
China and the United States shine swords, the storm is really coming
1. China-US decoupling is on the table
For decades, no matter how high-profile the United States has declared that its position is to contain and disintegrate China, China will give the United States the greatest economic benefits and international political support. This is "keeping a low profile."
For decades, China has accepted all kinds of insults and suppressions from the United States like slaps in the face, and has been swallowing its breath under the trap-filled rules set by the United States, and has been scolded like a subordinate. It was not until "Chinese diplomats were forced to teach political etiquette lessons to American partners" in Anchorage a year ago, and until the roar of "We think too well of you", that China straightened its back.
The national strategy designed and implemented by the United States against China is very rogue, but it is very open, and the bright people do not do secret things. There are more than a dozen U.S. national-level "Committees on Responding to China's Current Dangers." The U.S. Strategic Competition with China Act publicly declared that their goal is to overthrow the Chinese regime and completely contain China's rise. They bluntly declared that "the single most important challenge facing the United States and the democratic world in the 21st century is the rise of China" and that "the United States must simultaneously prepare for war with Russia and China."
China's response is very oriental, and its positioning of the United States often hovers between rivals, friends and even teachers. I have been vacillating between "pretending to be a grandson" or "real grandson". Since 2012, China's face has become clear, which makes the United States, which is used to arrogance, very uncomfortable. In fact, everyone knows that the negotiating table is the most useless thing for China and the United States. No matter what China does or does, the attitude of the United States towards China will not change.
The biggest consensus in the United States is to regard China as the number one enemy, which is anti-China. This is the only national will of the United States now. China has become the scapegoat for all the problems of the United States, and has become the only target for the United States to manage differences and unite the people. Talking about Sino-US friendship at this time can only be used as a joke. Sino-US relations will never return to the past. We can fool others, but we must not deceive ourselves.
Today, the Chinese ruling and opposition parties have thoroughly understood the gangster logic of the United States, and realized that the various insults and suppressions by the United States are not due to misunderstandings, but to lock China at the bottom of the food chain and serve the United States and the West forever. As the cost and consumables of their good life. China has clearly rejected the parasitic rights of the United States, and chose the solution of self-improvement and struggle, which is the doomsday sentence for the United States.
All the gold mined in the world is sent to the United States, and the United States will lose all of it in about 15 years. The wealth of all mankind is not enough to fill the hole in the United States. Even if God comes to be the president of the United States, he cannot make the United States, which is lying on its back and making money, change its mind and support itself. This is the fundamental reason why harvesting world wealth with US dollars cannot become a permanent model. The issue of decoupling between China and the United States is not a question of life and death, but a question of whether China can endure the bottomless exploitation and oppression of the United States.
The United States has been seeking a "one-time solution to China's problems", and China is also tenaciously safeguarding its own interests. The two sides are fighting like masters, Yuan Ting and Yue Zhi, but both are looking for an opportunity to kill with one blow.
If China's 300-year dynasty cycle law also applies to the United States, they have not even finished the first class. Brutal greed + the world's most powerful military, it's a toxic combination. In the face of such an opponent, China needs to maintain the highest level of vigilance.
In the Russo-Ukraine war, China is in the position of "helping whoever wins". At this time, China has not only formed a broad economic and political alliance with Russia, but also hastened to solve its own problems. Obviously, it has a clear prediction of what will happen in the future.
Second, what is the nature of the Sino-US dispute
The essence of the dispute between China and the United States is to fight for the right to survive; even if the United States wants to protect its super welfare, China must also strive for a better life. It is precisely this nature that China and the United States will fall into the "Hysterides Trap" in which the world's leaders and challengers are endless.
Breaking away from this fundamental, other ideological disputes, model disputes and civilization clashes have not reflected the fundamental differences and contradictions between China and the United States. It is precisely because of this unsolvable situation that the United States has always regarded China as the number one imaginary enemy.
You don’t want to fight for hegemony ≠ America thinks you don’t want to fight for hegemony; just because you don’t want to fight for hegemony now doesn’t mean you still don’t want to fight for hegemony after you have enough power. This is reasonable thinking in a business civilization characterized by exploitation and plunder.
Hegel said, "The only lesson that mankind has learned from history is that man has learned nothing from history." This is because we have been living in a civilization that competes for resources. Before this civilization is replaced by a higher-level civilization, human competition cannot be avoided.
The United States wants to protect the welfare of its hegemon, and the only way to survive the crisis is to sacrifice China. China is unwilling to be a lamb waiting to be slaughtered, and hopes to have a fair and reasonable right to realize labor. In a civilized form of resource competition, this pair of contradictions cannot be reconciled. Only war can redistribute power, and only war can solve this problem in stages.
[War does not simply refer to military warfare. Rather, there are many forms of warfare, such as biological warfare, financial warfare, industrial chain warfare, and so on. 】
There is only one solution to all crises in American history, and that is war. The only way for the United States to prevent China, the fattest cow, from running away is war. They have shifted their resources to the Asia-Pacific region for more than ten years and completed all preparations for war.
Once this kind of confrontation between the two great powers happens, it will definitely shake the earth and shake the earth. When failure and death have the same meaning, there are no rules and bottom lines.
There is often a blind, self-comforting optimism in China that the United States cannot afford a war with China. The reason is that even the Taliban in Afghanistan can make the United States feel ashamed.
These people have forgotten that the United States is a professional household for repairing the "second child". For more than 200 years, the United States has successively stepped on the British Empire, the Spanish Empire, Japan, Germany, and the Soviet Union, these super-powerful opponents. They are good at perfectly combining soft and hard power, choosing the best offensive point, and achieving the most perfect offensive effect.
In this regard, the United States has a profound heritage, firm ideas, skilled means, and rich experience. The United States will definitely concentrate all the power of the capital world on China and solve China's problems in World War I. Only in this way can the United States maintain its position as the world's hegemon and continue the life of the declining United States. For the United States, to solve China's problems is to solve the world's problems.
Some people pin their hopes on the common interests between China and the United States, but they forget that when facing the problem of survival, any interest does not play a decisive role; not to mention that this interest is still shrinking, and the conflict will completely change the relationship between China and the United States. Benefit structure to obtain greater and longer-term benefits.
The United States doesn't pay much attention to face, they pay more attention to inside, while China is just the opposite.
When a nation lives and dies, any luck will bring the tragedy of national subjugation and genocide. In the face of such cruel disputes, China must have sufficient spiritual national power, not only the power to deter opponents, but also the fighting will to dare to use this power.
Putin in front of him embodies this will very well. He clearly told the United States that he has no ability to defeat you, but he has the ability to drag you to hell together. It is this man who is profoundly affecting the world pattern, making the Third World more united than it has been since the Cold War. It is this kind of will that has restored Russia to the feeling of bigwig it once had, and made the United States and Europe work hard to adapt to their temper.
I don’t know how much shadow China has left on the United States to resist US aggression and aid Korea, but it should let the US know that 70 years ago, Chinese soldiers taught the US military to say the word “surrender” in Chinese; states into 51 countries. Only in this way can China deter the temperament and will of its opponents, and be fully prepared for any level of risk, can it stop wars with wars and maintain peace.
3. Is China challenging the United States?
Any country that reaches the number two position will be regarded by the leader as a threat and a de facto challenge. China is not only a piece of fat, but also a kind of power, and no boss will turn a blind eye to this kind of power.
If the United States cannot find a new fulcrum, it can achieve a strong economic recovery, consolidate the existing power order, widen the distance with China, and restore the self-confidence it once had. Then, any action by China, even a glance will be regarded as a challenge by the United States.
"Communism must die, or Christianity must die." When a socialist country bursts out with strong vitality, it is not only the United States that fears, but also the entire capitalist world.
China's actions are also rightfully viewed by the United States as a challenge. The "Belt and Road" is an attempt to connect Eurasia and Africa. If this goal is achieved, in fact, a situation in which land power is completely isolated from sea power will be formed, forming a brand new world pattern. In this action, China is not only formulating the rules of the game, but also exporting values to the world.
For the "big island" of the United States, this is an act of digging ancestral graves, which touches the core interests of the United States, including Onsa. If China does not stop this kind of action, it is only a matter of time before the two sides flip the table or even draw their guns to a duel. This is not a matter of face, it is still a matter of the right to live and the living space.
The United States has transformed from "the country with the strongest capital" to "the capital with the strongest country" today. They say that China is a civilization masquerading as a country, then the United States is a capital masquerading as a country, a semi-colony under the rule of Wall Street. In this regard, there is indeed a conflict between two civilizations in the United States and China, and there is a challenge from Eastern civilization to Western civilization.
The center of gravity of the globalized world is the United States and Europe, but Asia's economy has already accounted for more than half of the world. Historically, Asia has been in a dominant position in the world for a long time, and it is the absolute main body of civilization. Whether the world's center of gravity will return to Asia has become the collective anxiety of the United States and Europe, and it is the biggest challenge to the United States and the West.
China's challenges to the United States are ubiquitous, which are determined by China's size and weight, and cannot be avoided. The Russo-Ukraine war has not yet produced results, but it has produced a clear prototype and sample of regional economic cooperation and internal circulation. Several regions are moving towards huddling for heating, looking for an efficient internal circulation system, which is providing a demonstration for the post-globalization era. Anyone with a discerning eye can see that the center and potential leader is not Russia but China.
The internationalization of the RMB is to subvert the hegemony of the US dollar. Many people have seen this and are happy to see its success. This has pushed China and the United States into the arena. This duel will never end, and one will surely fall.
Jin Canrong said that he has studied international politics for more than 40 years, but he really couldn't understand the Russo-Ukrainian war. This is not a question of level, but a very challenging new thing is being conceived. What it looked like in the end, no one can tell.
[Russia cannot be defeated by Ukraine, it will only be dragged down by its own economic strength. The worst outcome for Russia is to voluntarily withdraw its troops from Ukraine. However, the Russian economy has been fully invested in the pattern of the East. The Western Pacific region will become the most important economic region in the world.
In other words, the United States' goal of fundamentally harming China by igniting the Russo-Ukrainian war cannot be achieved. 】
The United States has devoted enormous resources to contain China, which has left a power vacuum in the rest of the world. More challengers showed their attitude through the Russia-Ukraine war. Iran, Saudi Arabia and India are all using the mutual checks and balances between China and the United States to gain their own interests. Including the war between Russia and Ukraine, Putin also took advantage of this strategic space. In the end, the United States will blame China for all these accounts.
In today's world, China's power cannot be ignored. However, China does not yet have the ability to dominate the world trend. China is on the difficult road of economic dependence, cultural colonization, and national security. China does not yet have a strong force to build a new international order. However, China will definitely become such a power.
4. Why does the United States have to kill China?
Anyone in the underworld knows what happens when the boss is challenged and threatened.
"Every man is innocent, but he is guilty of the crime", a big country has no right to surrender. When you go to the seat where you sit on the second floor, this seat is the original sin.
Even if there are two countries in the world that surrender to the United States, they will inevitably be destroyed. The first is Russia. The United States must destroy Russia. In addition to the pressure brought by the former Soviet Union to the United States and Europe, what is more important is that Russia, as a military power second only to the United States, is the "second child" in fact military power and has the ability to challenge the United States. military strength.
The second is China, because China is the economic "second child", because China's "second child" is still a little restless, not only does not look up to Xie En from the low-end position designated by the United States, but also promotes the "Belt and Road" Internationalization and "Made in China 2025", but also to re-take the independent road in the high-tech field.
If the United States wants to kill China, it must first plunder China's wealth. In the past ten years, 80% of the global incremental wealth has been harvested by China and the United States. China has grown by US$8.8 trillion, the United States has grown by US$6 trillion, and many other countries are in a state of stagnant development or even negative growth in wealth.
Looking at the world, as a dairy cow, the United States cannot find any substitutes for countries that can meet the welfare needs of Americans except China.
China is the only country that can satisfy the blood-sucking of the United States in terms of wealth content. If the United States eliminates China, it will not only eliminate the threat of hegemony, but also provide long-term peace of mind in terms of welfare needs. This is the fundamental reason why the United States will not let China go, and the relationship between China and the United States cannot be reconciled.
The good life of the American prince needs someone to pay for it, and China is the most suitable and only candidate. There are actually three candidates. Among them, Russia has completely dispelled the idea of the United States. In India, the United States can't even sell Coca-Cola, and the ideological penetration effect is even worse, and the preparation is not yet sufficient.
Only China, the United States has not only brought China into the track of economic colonization, but also controlled China to a considerable extent in terms of economy, culture, and public opinion. The United States has countless undercover compradors and ideological agents in these fields. Therefore, sacrificing China is easier than sacrificing India, and it can reap more benefits than sacrificing India.
Once there is a conflict and confrontation between China and the United States, China's foreign exchange reserves of 3 trillion US dollars stored in the United States and the West will disappear instantly, and will instead become a powerful resource for them to deal with China.
Not only that, the United States also has sufficient psychological advantages and moral support to kill China. Since China's integration into the world economic system dominated by the United States, it has been included in the tribute system to the United States. In fact, it accepts the management of the United States similar to that of a defeated country. Drawing nourishment from prisoners of war and slaves is not only reasonable, but justified.
Any act of resistance will be seen as treason and ingratitude. Trump called China "revisionist" precisely based on such a moral advantage. China, which was once called "revisionism" by different camps, is now proving itself with actions.
Unfortunately, decades of privatization and social monetization have clouded the eyes of the Chinese. In the hypnosis of American agents, we almost no longer have the concept of international enemies, and we are even ashamed to mention the ideology and beliefs that the pioneers have condensed with blood, and we have forgotten the pride and glory we once had.
"Imperialism will never die", I thought it was a joke at first, but after I was slapped on the mouth, I realized it was the truth.
一，中美脱钩摆上了桌面
几十年来，无论美国如何高调宣称自己的定位就是遏制分裂瓦解中国，中国都要给予美国最大的经济利益输送和国际政治支持，这就是“韬光养晦”。
中国几十年来一直接受美国各种扇耳光一样的侮辱打压，一直在美国制定的到处陷阱的规则中忍气吞声，像下属一样被呵斥。直到一年前安克雷奇“中国外交官被迫向美国伙伴讲授政治礼节课”，直到“我们把你们想得太好了”那声咆哮，中国才挺直了腰板。
美国针对中国设计并推行的国家战略很流氓，但是很公开，明人不做暗事。美国国家级的“应对中国当前危险委员会”等机构就有十几个。美国对华战略竞争法案公开宣称他们的目标就是推翻中国政权，彻底遏制中国崛起。他们毫不隐讳地宣称“美国和民主世界在21世纪唯一最重要的挑战就是中国的崛起”，“美国必须同时准备与俄罗斯和中国开战”。
中国的应对很东方化，对美国的定位时常徘徊于对手朋友甚至老师之间。一直在“装孙子”还是“真孙子”之间摇摆模糊。2012年以来，中国的面目开始清晰，这让习惯了高傲的美国很不适应。其实大家都心知肚明，对中美来说谈判桌是最没有用的物件。无论中国怎么做，做什么，美国对中国的态度都不会改变。
美国最大的共识就是把中国看做头号敌人，就是反华。这是现在美国唯一的举国意志。中国成了美国所有问题的替罪羊，成了美国管控分歧，凝聚民众的唯一对象。这个时候谈中美友谊，只有搞笑的作用。中美关系，永远也回不到从前。我们可以忽悠外人，但是一定不要欺骗自己。
今天，中国朝野上下已经彻底地读懂了美国的强盗逻辑，认识到美国的各种侮辱打压，不是因为误解，而是要把中国锁死在食物链的底端，永远为美国和西方服务，永远作为他们美好生活的成本和耗材。中国明确地拒绝了美国的寄生权，选择了自强和斗争的解决方案，这对美国来说就是末日宣判。
全世界开采的黄金全部送给美国，美国大约15年就能全部亏完。全人类的财富，都不够填美国这个窟窿。就算是上帝来当美国总统，也不能让躺着赚钱的美国洗心革面，自食其力。这才是为什么用美元收割世界财富不可能成为永久模式的根本所在。中美之间不是脱钩的问题，而是生死存亡的问题，是中国能否忍受美国无底线剥削和压榨的问题。
美国一直在寻求“一次性解决中国问题”，中国也在坚韧地维护自己的利益。双方像高手对决，渊渟岳峙，却都在寻找一击致命的契机。
如果中国的300年王朝周期律同样适用美国，他们现在连第一节课还没上完。粗野的贪婪+世界上最强大的军事力量，这是一种有毒的组合。面对这样的对手，中国需要保持最高级别的警惕。
俄乌战争，中国正处于“帮谁谁赢”的位置上。这个时候中国不但与俄罗斯结成广泛的经济和政治同盟，而且紧锣密鼓地解决自身问题，显然对未来将要发生的事情有着清晰的预判。
二，中美争端的本质是什么
中美争端的本质，就是为了争夺生存权力；就是美国要保障其超级福利，中国也要争取美好生活。正是这一本质，中美才会跌入世界老大同挑战者不死不休的“休斯底德陷阱”。
脱离了这个根本，其他的意识形态之争，模式之争和文明的冲突，都没有反映出中美之间根本的分歧和矛盾。正是因为这个无解之局，美国才一直将中国视为头号假想敌。
你不想争夺霸权≠美国认为你不想争夺霸权；你现在不想争夺霸权不等于你有了足够的力量之后仍然不想争夺霸权。在以剥削和掠夺为特征的工商文明中，这是合理思维。
黑格尔说过，“人类从历史学到的唯一教训就是，人类没有从历史中吸取任何教训”。这是因为我们一直活在一个竞争资源的文明形态当中。在这种文明没有被更高阶的文明取代之前，人类的竞争无法避免。
美国要维护其霸主的福利，要想渡过危机只有牺牲中国。中国不愿意做待宰的羔羊，希望拥有公平合理的劳动变现权力。在资源竞争的文明形态中，这对矛盾无法调解，只有战争能够重新分配权力，也只有战争才能阶段性地解决这个问题。
【战争，不是单纯指军事战争。而是有很多的战争形态，例如生物战争、金融战争、产业链战争等等。】
美国历史上所有解决危机的方法只有一个，那就是战争。美国要阻止中国这头最肥硕的奶牛脱缰而去的唯一方法也只有战争。他们在十几年的时间里已经将资源转向亚太地区，完成了所有的战争准备。
这种两大强国的对决一旦发生必将是地动山摇，惊天动地。当失败和死亡意义相同的时候，也就没有了规则和底线。
中国国内常常有一种盲目的，自我安慰的乐观情绪，认为美国经不起一场同中国的战争。理由是连阿富汗塔利班都能弄得美国灰头土脸。
这些人忘记了美国是修理“老二”的专业户。200多年里，美国陆续地把大英帝国，西班牙帝国，日本，德国，苏联，这些超强对手相继踩在脚下。他们善于将软硬实力完美地结合起来，选择最佳进攻点，取得最完美的进攻效果。
在这方面，美国底蕴深厚，理念坚定，手段娴熟，经验丰富。美国一定会把资本世界全部力量集中到中国身上，一战解决中国问题。只有这样才能保住美国世界霸主的地位，才能为衰落的美国续命。对美国来说，解决中国问题，就是解决世界问题。
有人把希望寄托在中美之间共同的利益捆绑，但却忘了面对生存问题的时候，任何利益都不起决定作用；何况这个利益还在不断地缩水，何况通过冲突还会彻底地改变利益结构，获得更大更长远的利益。
美国不太讲究面子，他们更注重里子，而中国正好相反。
在民族生死存亡之际，任何侥幸心理都会带来亡国灭种的悲惨。面对这样残酷的争端，中国要有足够的精神国力，不但要有能够威慑对手的力量，更要有敢于使用这种力量的战斗意志。
眼前的普京就很好地体现了这种意志，他清晰地告诉美国，没有能力打败你，但有能力一起拉你下地狱。正是这个人，正在深刻地影响着世界的格局，使第三世界自冷战以来从未如此地团结。正是这种意志，使俄罗斯恢复了曾经有过的大佬的感觉，让美国和欧洲努力地去适应自己的脾气。
不知道抗美援朝中国给美国留下的阴影还残留多少，但是应该让美国知道，70年前中国士兵让美军学会了用汉语说出来“投降”两个字；今天的中国也会把美国的51个州打成51个国家。中国只有这样能够震慑对手的气质和意志，并对任何级别的风险有足够的准备，才能够以战止战，才能维护和平。
三，中国在挑战美国吗
任何走到老二位置的国家，都会被老大视为一种威胁，都是一种事实上的挑战。中国不但是一块肥肉，更是一种力量，没有任何一个老大会对这种力量视而不见。
美国如果找不到新的支点，实现经济的强劲复苏，巩固现有的权力秩序，拉大同中国的距离，恢复曾经有过的自信。那么，中国的任何行动，甚至一个眼神都会被美国视为挑战。
“共产主义必死不可，否则基督教必亡”。当一个社会主义国家迸发出强大生命力的时候，恐惧的不仅仅是美国，还包括整个资本主义世界。
中国的行动也理所当然地被美国视为挑战。“一带一路”就是尝试打通欧亚大陆，并把非洲联通起来。如果达到这一目的，事实上，就形成了陆权全面孤立海权的局面，形成了全新的世界格局。在这个行动中，中国不但在制定游戏规则，而且也在向世界输出价值观。
这对“大号海岛”的美国来说，就是一种挖祖坟的行为，触动到了美国包括昂撒的核心利益。中国不停止这种行动，双方掀桌子甚至拔枪决斗都只是时间问题。这不是面子里子问题，这仍然是生存权利和生存空间的问题。
美国从“拥有最强资本的国家”蜕变成了今天“拥有最强国家的资本”。他们说中国是一个伪装成国家的文明，那么美国就是一个伪装成国家的资本，是华尔街统治下的半殖民地。在这方面，美国和中国确实存在两种文明的冲突，存在东方文明对西方文明的挑战。
全球化的世界重心在美国和欧洲，但是亚洲的经济占比早已经超过了世界的一半。历史上亚洲长久处于世界的主导地位，是绝对的文明主体。世界重心会不会重新回到亚洲，这已经成为美国和欧洲的集体焦虑，更是对美西方最大的挑战。
中国对美国的挑战无处不在，这是由中国的体量和分量决定的，是躲避不开的。俄乌战争还没有打出结果，但却打出来一个清晰的区域经济合作和内循环的雏形和样本。几个区域正在走向抱团取暖，寻找内部有效率的循环系统，正在为后全球化时代提供一个示范。明眼人都看得出来，围绕的中心和潜在的龙头不是俄罗斯而是中国。
人民币国际化就是颠覆美元霸权，很多人都看到了这一点，也乐见其成。这就把中美两国推向了角斗场，这场决斗不死不休，一定会有一个倒下。
金灿荣说他研究国际政治40多年，但是俄乌战争真的看不懂。这不是水平问题，而是一个极具挑战性的新事物正在孕育当中。它最后长成什么样子，谁都说不清楚。
【俄罗斯不可能被乌克兰击败，只会被自己的经济实力拖垮。俄罗斯的最坏结局，是主动从乌克兰撤军。但是，俄罗斯经济全力投向东方的格局已经形成。西太平洋地区将成为全球最重要的经济区域。
换言之，美国拱火俄乌战争，从根本上损害中国的目的，并不能达成。】
美国投入大量的资源围堵中国，这就在世界其他的地方留下了权力真空。更多的挑战者借俄乌战争亮明了自己的态度。伊朗，沙特包括印度都在利用中美的相互制衡来获取自己的利益。包括俄乌之战，普京也正是利用了这种战略空间。最终，美国会把这些账都算到中国身上。
在今天的世界中，中国的力量不容忽视，但是，中国还没有主导世界走势的能力，中国正走在艰难的经济上去依附，文化上去殖民，国家安全上去“内鬼”的道路上。中国还没有构建国际新秩序的强大力量。但是，中国一定会成为这样的力量。
四，美国为什么一定要搞死中国
混黑社会的都知道，当老大受到挑战和威胁的时候会发生什么。
“匹夫无罪，怀璧其罪”，大国没有投降的权力。当你走到坐二望一的位置时，这个位置就是原罪。
世界上有两个国家即使投降了美国，也必然会被灭亡。第一个就是俄罗斯。美国一定要搞垮俄罗斯，除了前苏联给美国和欧洲曾经带来的压力之外，更重要的是俄罗斯作为仅次于美国的军事强国，是事实上军事力量的“老二”，具有挑战美国的军事实力。
第二个就是中国，因为中国是经济上的“老二”，因为中国这个“老二”还有些不安分，不但不在美国指定的低端位置上仰望谢恩，还要推行“一带一路”，人民币国际化和“中国制造2025”，还要在高科技领域重走独立自主的道路。
美国要搞死中国，首先必须掠夺中国的财富。过去十年全球增量财富的80%被中美收获。中国增长了8.8万亿美元，美国增长了6万亿美元，其余很多国家处于发展停滞甚至财富负增长的状态。
放眼世界，作为奶牛，能够满足美国人福利需求的国家，除了中国，美国找不到任何的替代品。
中国是财富含量上唯一能够满足美国吸血的国家。美国干掉中国，不但可以在霸权上消除威胁，在福利需求上也可以长期安枕无忧。这就是为什么美国不会放过中国，中美关系无法调和的根本原因。
美国太君的美好生活需要有人来买单，中国是最合适也是唯一的候选人。这个备选者其实有三个人，其中俄罗斯已经让美国彻底打消了这个念头，而在印度美国连可口可乐都卖不出去，意识形态渗透效果更差，准备尚不充分。
只有中国，美国不但已经把中国纳入了经济殖民化轨道，而且在经济，文化，舆论方面相当程度上控制了中国，美国在这些领域有数之不尽的买办卧底和意识形态代理人。所以，牺牲中国比牺牲印度更加容易，也比牺牲印度能更多地收获利益。
一旦中美两国发生冲突对立，中国存储在美国和西方3万亿美金的外汇储备就会瞬间消失，反而会成为他们对付中国的强大资源。
不仅如此，美国干掉中国还有其充分的心理优势和道德支撑。从中国融入美国主导的世界经济体系开始，就被纳入了对美国的朝贡体系，实际上接受着美国类似于对战败国的管理。从战俘和奴隶身上吸取养分不仅合理，而且天经地义。
任何反抗的行为都会被视为大逆不道和忘恩负义。特朗普称中国为“修正主义”，正是基于这样的一种道德优势。曾经被不同阵营同时称为“修正主义”的中国，现在正在用行动来证明自己。
遗憾的是，几十年来的私有化和社会货币化模糊了中国人的双眼。在美国代理人的催眠中，我们几乎已经没有了国际敌人的概念，甚至羞于提及先驱者用鲜血凝成的意识形态和信仰，更忘记了曾经有过的骄傲与光荣。
“帝国主义亡我之心不死”，原来以为是笑话，被打了嘴巴之后才发现是真理。
五，中美最大威胁都来自内部
上一任美国总统的追随者洗劫国会大厦让人们看到了美国的脆弱。中国有没有能力干掉美国是个未知数，但是美国非常可能会被自己干掉。
曾经的美国强大到令人绝望，只有和那时相比才能看到今日美国黄昏时的景象。
美国政治制度已经完全资本寡头化，这使他们不但在外部，在内部也彻底失去了道德立场。
美国是一个移民国家，美利坚不是一个民族，也没有民族认同感。美国就是一个用金钱和福利粘合起来的利益共同体。
当美国这个天字第一号的寄生虫无法对外获得更大的利益，无法对外转移危机的时候，国家内部就会对已有资源进行争夺。人们就会丢掉美利坚这个外套，转向对自己民族，肤色和宗教的认同。
特朗普就看到了美国最大的威胁不是中俄，而是国内“病态和激进的政客”。资本对这些政客的深度控制，使美国不会出现真正的改革集团。
利尽人散，一旦美国的经济停滞，对外吸血供养不足，借债和印钞难以为继，美国人超值的福利不能持续，内部就会分裂，就会成为无数个经济体甚至国家。一旦这种状况发生，美国将不复存在，会成为第二个解体的超级大国。
美国是一个天生必须成为霸主的国家，必须要有来自全世界的供奉和牺牲。美国不能成为世界第二，更不可能成为地区性大国。当美国走下神坛的时候，美国就不存在了。这是美国的诅咒。
美国一定会在一个时期寻找到一个国内问题的替罪羊，找到一个美国祭坛上的牺牲品，现在他们选中的就是中国。
中国最大的危险就是内部的买办和亲美势力，它们最大的危害就是把中国变成了一个“在精神和文化上被美国占领的国家”，使中国不再是美国权力网络里的真空地带。
他们把“开放”作为对中国人的道德要挟，完美地配合美国的对华攻略和意识形态洗脑，毫无心理压力地把中国引入美国设计的思维陷阱。他们让美国成为一直站在道德高地上的领主，而中国人却始终都是奴隶。
世界上最狂热地相信美国，对美国霸权充满信心，认定美国不可战胜的人不在美国而在中国。最可怕的是，这些美国的代理人成功地影响着中国。
美国的意识形态统治了中国的主流经济学家和自由派知识分子，在很多领域部分或接近完成了“颜色革命”。通过这些人美国掌握了中国的价值判断权和文化标准，使得越是背弃祖国的人越被赋予了道德优越感。
每当中美发生冲突时，都会有一大批“德高望重”，声名显赫的名人扑上来撕咬，摁着脑袋让中国人跪下去。这就是美国的“软实力”，也是“巧实力”，更是前苏联解体的动力。正是因为有这些人的存在，使美国围剿中国的成本并不高，但利益极大。
他们对一切有益于国家和人民的主张都充满着天然的仇恨。比如那位“共同富裕是死路一条”的郑大人，比如一直致力于“顶层设计”的经济学家吴某某对中国发展芯片的愤怒，比如深情地希望中国销毁核武器来取信美国的顶级参事时殷弘，比如外交学院的吴院长撒泼打滚地要求中国必须“韬光养晦”，比如最近上海市委党校某院长情真意切地劝导中国降美弃俄。
这些人高官得坐，骏马任骑，就是对社会和民众最好的示范效应。不清除这些“手榴弹向后扔”的中国版戈尔巴乔夫，被渗透得像筛子一样的现状得不到改善，就不会有凝聚力，不会有共同目标和共同利益，其后果是任何对外斗争都不会取得胜利。
最近几年，这些人似乎失去了身影，但是他们并没有得到清算。他们在等待指令，正在寻找上场表演的时机。
买办和投降派是中国百年血泪最大的罪人，任何汉奸最风光最滋润的年代，都是中华民族最危险的时候。
六，全面战争能否避免
世界已经进入了一个高风险阶段，突出特征就是不确定性。明天会发生什么，连上帝都不知道。
历史告诉我们，经济危机与大战的爆发是一枚硬币的正反两面。全球资源危机+国际封锁同战争从来都是孪生兄弟。
告别全球化就是告别美国，告别一个走下坡路但又拥有最强军事力量，最好战的国家，世界就已经走入了危险。
今日的世界正面临着1871年以来最严重的一次经济衰退，人类面对着同一二战和大萧条时期相同的经济危机，冷战后的世界秩序正在崩溃。历史证明，在世界寻找新方向的时候，战争常常是最靠前的一个选择。
我们现在能看到的是很多国家军费的大幅增加，越来越多的国家正在选边站队。粮食短缺和粮价上涨，能源及资源危机都将进一步给世界带来饥饿和恐慌。
当在“存量博弈”中活下来成为最优选项的时候，敌意就会在国家之间特别是各大国之间弥漫，最终一定会走到为了争夺资源而不惜一战。
危机正在快速地改变世界。几乎所有的国家都在转向国家主义，转向强人政治。强权国家无一例外地都在进行舆论动员，准备面对最后的时刻，准备寻找弱小者买单。
俄乌冲突中，人们看到了美元霸权的薄暮，看到了美国朝贡体系的瓦解，看到了地区性大国的蠢蠢欲动，看到了不同国家的选边站队，看到了不同力量的集结。
今天的中国在这种单极霸权的世界中，是唯一重要的平衡力量。没有中国的世界，将会变得更加糟糕。中国能做到这一点，是因为手里掌握着"公平 "这个最与众不同的价值观。当然，中国“老二”的大块头也是一个重要因素。
全面战争其实已经打响，在科技，金融，意识形态，半导体，能源，原材料，粮食，卫生等领域早已经打得热火朝天。美国正在重启“租借法案”，80年前的那一幕重新上演。二战结束之后，人类从来没有像今天这样接近全面对立和全面战争。
这是超出所有人想象的总体战，所有的国家都在紧张地提防对手，同时在权衡利弊，判断下场的时机。
全球性的经济危机最终一定是军事危机，这是资本主义工商文明的底层逻辑。我们今天正处于严重的政治危机阶段，再向前走过去就是战争。俄乌冲突已经打响了第一枪，全面的军事冲突还有多远，全世界的目光都聚焦在中美两国身上。
美国从来都是世界混乱的源头，现在更是世界危机的“兵工厂”。他们不但挑起了俄乌冲突，还会挑起更多的冲突让这个世界面临全面危机，好让他们火中取栗，满足华尔街和军工复合体的利益要求。任何一个失控的冲突，都会让世界走入黑暗。
在利益的驱使下，饥饿感会让美国把屠刀指向任何人。俄乌战争事实上正在绞杀欧元，一场极其惨烈的金融战争已经从卢布和欧元开始。大家都希望不要波及到全世界，但是善良的愿望总是会落空。
美国需要一场战争来解决中国，尽管看起来美国似乎经历不起一场这样的战争，但是对世界霸主来说，越是这样的处境就越危险，手段就会越极端。综合各种信息可以预见，美国对中国兵戎相见的时候已经为期不远。
【其实早就开始了。】
相信新的台海危机将会很快发生，台湾将会像乌克兰一样成为下一枚棋子，将中国拖下水。美国一定不会让台湾有和平统一的机会，他们要用这张牌获得最大的利益。世界大战的火药桶到底在哪里，台湾一定是其中的一个。
世界上没有一个大国不是在战争中崛起的，所有的软实力和价值观外溢都是胜利的副产品。中国当然也不例外。那种把强大和肥大混为一谈，认为中国有钱了，数着票子就会走向胜利的人，很可能是脑袋被美国驴踢了。
“一般来讲，大国的标志是有能力打赢战争”。不惧强敌，敢战才能止战。当年中国屡屡挑战美国，反倒打出了和平，打进了联合国，打来了中美之间的接触和三个公报。以斗争求和平则和平存，以退让求和平则战争至，这才是真正的中国智慧。
无论您有多忙，请您花1秒钟时间点击下面“分享”把它放到你的圈子里！可能您的朋友也需要！谢谢！
评论
发表评论