After the opening of Vladivostok, Putin also wanted to let go of Sakhalin Island. It has to be said that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has completely awakened Russia, and finally found that it is unrealistic to look west, and China is a true friend.
Recently, the cooperation between China and Russia in the Far East has attracted worldwide attention. After negotiations with Russia, my country's Heilongjiang and Jilin, after more than a hundred years, can finally ship domestic trade goods through Russia's Vladivostok port, and then ship them to other places along the coast of my country. The mouth of the Sea of Japan was finally opened.
Good things come in pairs. Just after Vladivostok, Putin seemed to let go of China in another place. The next stop of Sino-Russian cooperation is Sakhalin Island, which is also known as Sakhalin Island in Russia.
According to the Russian Satellite News Agency, Putin allowed China to participate in the development and construction of Sakhalin Island. At present, the two sides have launched a huge international investment project. China has shipped dozens of working equipment to the island, which shows that the project is being implemented.
According to the Russian side, partners from China plan to build a complex project here, including coal yards, thermal power plants, wood processing plants, etc. If all the projects are successfully implemented, at least 800 jobs will be provided for the area, which can bring huge tax revenues to the local government.
It is not difficult to see from these specific factories that Sakhalin Island is very rich in natural resources, especially wood and wood. Therefore, it is not difficult to foresee that we can obtain more raw materials and energy by jointly developing Sakhalin Island with Russia.
Regardless of the frequent cooperation between Russia and China in the Far East recently, it is actually not easy for China to participate in the cooperative development and construction of this region.
In the past few decades, Russia has been strictly guarding against China, and has taken a very cautious attitude towards related cooperation matters. But everyone also knows that since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in February last year, under the joint encirclement and sanctions of the United States and Western countries, Russia has discovered that China is Russia's real friend.
Before the conflict broke out, Russia had always focused its economic efforts on Europe and had little cooperation with Asia. After all, for Russia at that time, it was more cost-effective to earn dollars or euros than renminbi.
Although Russia has introduced some policies for the joint development of the Far East before, it is often too much noise and no concrete implementation. After the Russian-Ukraine conflict broke out, Russia, realizing that it was no longer possible to look westward, strengthened its determination to look eastward. Therefore, the Far East, which was regarded as a "forbidden area", was gradually opened to China.
Of course, China's huge market is enough to allow Russia's energy to maximize its economic value. The ever-deepening strategic cooperative partnership between the two countries will also be promoted to a higher level, and at the same time, it will inject more certainty into world peace and stability.
Of course, what deserves our attention is that although the cooperation between China and Russia has become closer, both sides rarely maintain a low-key attitude and have not made much publicity in the international community.
Fundamentally speaking, the two sides have kept a low profile on this, hoping to reduce the vigilance of the US and Western countries towards the approach of China and Russia. According to the style of the West, even if China and Russia are low-key enough, rumors and smears are still indispensable.
A few days ago, French President Macron's so-called remarks that Russia has become a vassal of China are one of the typical representatives. Against this background, China and Russia are naturally following the principle of making a fortune in silence, and will not touch the bad luck of the West.
The five Central Asian countries are the "world's largest resource area" in the northwest of China, but this place has been neglected for a long time. It was not until May 18-19 this year, when the China-Central Asia Summit was held in Xi'an, China, that Central Asia gradually became a "hot word".
To understand Central Asia, you must first be clear about the five Central Asian countries, which are: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan. Among them, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan are neighboring countries with China, with a border line of more than 3,000 kilometers.
First, the five Central Asian countries have been deeply bound to Russia in the past, why did it suddenly fall to China?
Answer: The special geographical location of the five countries in Central Asia is doomed. There are only three options for their development. Central Asia is the throat of the Eurasian continent: it borders Russia to the north, the Middle East to the south, and China to the east.
Among these three places, the interior of the Middle East is in a mess, and it is almost impossible for Central Asia to rely on it.
Russia has been the reliance of Central Asia for a long time in the past.
Take Kazakhstan (hereinafter referred to as Kazakhstan) as an example. This country is twice the size of the other four "Stan" countries combined. If this large country wants to develop, it naturally needs to conduct economic exchanges with other countries. However, due to various reasons, Kazakhstan's products are only available in Russia.
The economy can determine many things at any time, because in Kazakhstan, whose economy is tied to Russia, people in the country not only generally learn Russian, but also "pro-Russian groups" appeared in the country. China and Russia are naturally "deeply bound".
This is true for Kazakhstan, and so are other Central Asian countries. In 2019, the International Republican Institute conducted a public opinion survey among 1,483 citizens of Kyrgyzstan. In this survey, 95% of the respondents rated the relationship between Kyrgyzstan and Russia as "good", and 88% of the respondents believed that Russia is the most important economic partner of Kyrgyzstan.
The survey report also gives a specific ranking of countries' national influence on Kyrgyzstan, among which Russia ranks first, and China ranks sixth after the European Union.
However, after the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the bond between Russia and Central Asia has been significantly loosened. This is not only due to Russia’s poor economic situation in recent years, which has prevented it from continuously providing economic benefits to the five Central Asian countries, but also because: With the development of the war Changes, Russia itself is too busy to take care of itself, and it has no heart to take care of the five Central Asian countries.
On the other hand, after the Russia-Uzbekistan conflict, Europe and the United States saw the right time and began to extend their hands to Russia's "backyard" Central Asia. After Europe and the United States intervened, the five Central Asian countries began to "de-Russify", and they could keep a distance from Russia.
Recently, news has spread that Central Asian countries, which have always remained neutral on the issue of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, are considering joining Western sanctions against Russia. Faced with all these, we really can only sigh: this moment, that moment!
Then the problem comes again, since Europe and the United States have extended their hands to Central Asia, and the total economic volume of the United States has reached 25 trillion US dollars, so it has the ability to invest in Central Asia and promote the economic development of Central Asia. Why didn't the five Central Asian countries directly fall to Europe and the United States? The answer has to do with Russian involvement.
We mentioned earlier that the five Central Asian countries are equivalent to Russia's "backyard". Since they are the backyard, how can European and American countries be allowed to get involved? Russia is very clear that once Central Asia falls to Europe and the United States, Central Asia will become a pawn of Europe and the United States in the next step. At that time, the United States is bound to establish military bases and deploy troops in Central Asia, further threatening Russia.
During the Russia-Ukraine conflict, facing the fact that Europe and the United States "reached out" to Central Asia, Russia intervened in time. However, its way of intervention is to seek power from the outside, and this external power is China.
In other words, China’s strengthening of economic and trade cooperation with the five Central Asian countries during the Russia-Ukraine conflict will, to a certain extent, help Russia offset the influence of Europe and the United States in Central Asia, thereby interrupting the US plan.
China has advocated "benevolence, righteousness and morality" since ancient times, but when we extend our hands to Central Asia at a critical moment, it is not purely "doing good". After all, China has long been clear: between countries, the most important thing is the word "benefit". Before China was determined to extend its hand to Central Asia, Russia had already given up some of its interests. Some time ago, they used Vladivostok, the "Far Eastern Forbidden Land", to pass through China, which is part of the "give up" interests.
In the final analysis, the strengthening of economic cooperation between the five Central Asian countries and China is also based on the consideration of their own interests. For the five Central Asian countries: it is better to turn to China than to turn to the United States.
First of all, although the economy of the United States is stronger than that of China, the five countries in Central Asia, including Kazakhstan, are "distant waters" from the United States: they are too far apart. There is an old Chinese saying that "far away water cannot put out a near fire", and the same is true in economics.
Central Asia and the United States are too far apart. In addition to the high transportation costs of trade, there is also a difference in living habits. Among other things, the United States simply cannot bear the native products of Central Asian countries. And the products of the United States are often unaffordable to the five Central Asian countries. The most important thing about "trade" is "easy", that is, exchange. There are both "unbearable" and "unable to exchange", so why is there "trade"?
On the contrary, China is not only adjacent to the five Central Asian countries, but also has countless cheap industrial products, which can greatly improve the quality of life of ordinary people in Kazakhstan. At the same time, the Chinese people are also very interested in the various local products of the five Central Asian countries. Isn't this the best of both worlds?
Second, the United States and the five Central Asian countries are, to some extent, competing countries. The five Central Asian countries are rich in resources, and they are rich in oil. In Central Asia and the Caspian Sea region, the oil reserves are 150-200 billion barrels, accounting for about 18% to 25% of the world's oil reserves. This means: Central Asia's oil reserves, second only to the Middle East.
Central Asia is an oil-rich country, and Russia and the United States are also oil-rich countries. This fact is doomed: they are competing with each other. In contrast to China, although we are not an oil-poor country, 60 to 70 percent of our crude oil needs to be imported. The huge demand for oil has allowed China and Central Asia to "merge together" perfectly.
China needs a lot of resources. Oil and gas from Central Asian countries, especially Kazakhstan, can be sent to Xinjiang and directly merged into the repaired oil and gas pipelines.
In the long run, Central Asia's shift towards China will enable China and Kazakhstan to form a stable and sustainable relationship that is complementary and mutually beneficial. In the future, the "steel-oil-gas-money" link connecting energy pipelines and railways will become the existence of the continuation of the "Silk Road".
It has always been a win-win situation to go far. Central Asia and China have just met the conditions for a "win-win" situation.
Second, what specific impacts will Central Asia's shift to the West have on China, Russia and the world pattern?
First, the impact of Central Asia's shift to China on China: it will promote China's "Belt and Road".
The Silk Road in the Western Han Dynasty led out of Xinjiang to Central Asia. Therefore, the first batch of countries connected by the Silk Road were actually several countries in Central Asia.
Among them, Tajikistan is located at the intersection of the ancient Silk Road, and three major ancient silk roads run through the whole territory. Dushanbe, the capital of Tajikistan, is an important stop on the ancient Silk Road. Its name means "Monday". .
Uzbekistan is also a famous ancient country along the Silk Road, and it is also the country with the richest Silk Road cultural relics in Central Asia.
Today's "One Belt, One Road" actually follows the route of the Silk Road, and the first batch of our alliance countries are still the Central Asian countries. After all, the geographic location of Central Asia is doomed: it is one of the three major continental trade windows for China's foreign trade. It can be said that if China's "One Belt, One Road" initiative is to be realized, getting Central Asia is a very critical link.
The reason why the China-Central Asia Summit from May 18 to 19 was chosen in Xi'an, the eastern starting point of the Silk Road, is self-evident. Thousands of years later, the heads of state of the five Central Asian countries gathered in Xi'an, and what they will write is not only the friendship of the millennium, but also a brand new future.
Second, the impact of Central Asia's shift to China on Russia: it offsets the impact of US power on Russia.
We mentioned above: In recent years, Russia has limited control over Central Asia. After the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the "de-Russification" of Central Asia has become more and more serious.
For Russia, Central Asia at this time can no longer serve as a "backyard", and it is more like a child looking forward to greater development and wanting to "separate". But this "child" lives next door to Russia after all, so if he is manipulated by someone who doesn't trust him, the consequences will be disastrous.
Compared with Central Asia's fall to the United States and Europe, Russia feels "relieved" that they have turned to China. First of all, this will mean that they at least don't have to worry about the US and Europe setting up military bases in their "backyards". Secondly, they don't have to worry too much about the child who is arguing about "separation", and the backyard will be stable.
In the past, Russia has always obstructed the normal exchanges between China and Central Asian countries. The most typical obstruction is reflected in the construction of the "China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan" railway.
The "China-Jiwu" railway was proposed as early as the beginning of the 21st century, but it has not been passed because of Russia's obstruction. In the past, Russia believed that once the "China-Kjiborg-Uzbekistan" railway was opened, the distance between China and southern Europe and the Persian Gulf would be greatly reduced. In that way, a large number of cheap goods produced in China will be transported to Central Asia faster, thereby promoting the economic development of the Persian Gulf and southern European countries.
In Russia's logic: once the Central Asian countries taste the sweetness of economic development, China and the Central Asian countries will inevitably marginalize Russia.
Now and then, after the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Russia finally figured it out: Isn't Russia's "backyard" stable when Central Asia becomes richer? Stable, isn't it impossible for the United States and various forces to make "moths" in this area?
There is no doubt that Central Asia's fall to China is beneficial to Russia at this time!
Third, Central Asia's shift towards China will integrate the economies of the Eurasian continent and thus break the existing world pattern.
The fall of Central Asia to China will, to some extent, mean the integration of the Eurasian continent. The Eurasian continent is the largest continent on earth, accounting for two-fifths of the world's land area and nine-tenths of the world's population. When they are integrated, those countries that are separated from the Eurasian continent will become "isolated islands" one by one.
The current world is dominated by sea power, which is supported by sea lanes; but after Central Asia falls to China, China’s railways will be directly repaired to Central Asian countries, and after extending all the way, land power will break the dominant position of sea power and become the same as China. It exists in parallel.
When Eurasia was integrated in transportation, it was also when its economies were integrated. At that time, the hegemony of the US dollar will naturally be broken, and the world will usher in an era of regional currency integration.
Conclusion: It is a great thing for Central Asia to turn to China, but China must be prepared to truly maximize the interests of all parties
Yellen came here to tell China on behalf of the United States: Look, our United States collapsed, and your China collapsed.
China says fuck me, you think I'm a fool! Don't come, go where you love to be cool and cool!
Let me tell you what China said, if you collapse at 10 o'clock this morning, Japan will kneel down and call me Dad at 3 minutes past 10 o'clock! Japan also said that I would go and burn the Yasukuni toilets at night, and then said that if Wa Dao didn't come back obediently, I would help you clean him up when I was young, and I would never let my Chinese father worry about it.
Then why did the United States release a report in a hurry not long ago, saying that China bought U.S. debt in a high-profile manner? The United States is declaring it to the world:
You see, China has already bought U.S. debt, so what are you worried about? This is the strongest credit guarantee, buy it quickly, don't worry, I can't cheat you...
Recently, the U.S. Treasury Department released news that China purchased 20.5 billion U.S. bonds in March.
Many people read this news and remembered jumping up and down, heartbroken and dumbfounded, and went to my message board every day to shout that you saw China surrender.
Let's talk about this matter today. Usually Saturday is my busiest day. Today I will write briefly, but I must talk about things clearly.
Regarding this matter, many bloggers have begun to analyze it, and it seems that the analysis has a nose and an eye. What do they say?
First, if we don’t buy U.S. debt, the U.S. debt will collapse, and the United States will collapse. We still have 860 billion U.S. debt in our hands, so it will become waste paper. Therefore, in order to prevent the 860 billion U.S. debt from becoming waste paper, we America must be saved.
Second, if the United States collapses, wouldn't it be an economic crisis, and wouldn't many people in China be unemployed, so we must save the United States.
To be honest, I read the words of these bloggers, and I laughed out loud when I analyzed them so well.
Isn't this the same thing that saving the United States means saving China?
If you don’t buy U.S. debt, the U.S. will collapse, and China will follow suit?
It has been less than 200 years since the cerebral thrombosis, I really can't think of such a good thing.
Let me just say the simplest thing, the United States collapsed, is the chip breakthrough just around the corner, do you dare not sell us the lithography machine?
If the United States collapses, who will become the world's No. 1 brother? Is it India or Korea? Don't know?
The United States collapsed, is Frog Island crying and begging to come back? Did Cai Ni have to escape to Central America?
The United States collapsed, did Japan kneel down and call us dad? Please don't be so ruthless when liquidating militarism?
The United States collapsed, what currency will become the international currency?
I won’t talk about other things, just the above results, let you spend 860 billion U.S. debt to change, will you change it?
Many bloggers actually said no. In this way, wouldn’t our 860 billion U.S. debt become waste paper?
I just want to ask if this Nima is human logic?
Co-author wanting to collapse the United States, unwilling to spend a penny?
The United States spent 2 trillion U.S. dollars to fight Afghanistan. If we want to defeat the United States, are we reluctant to part with a penny?
The second argument is even more amusing, saying that the collapse of the United States will lead to an economic crisis in China.
It’s so funny, the collapse of the United States, the economic crisis of any country can’t be blamed on China, the US dollar assets have become waste paper, and Chinese companies will frantically go to the United States to buy bottoms.
The United States collapsed, China's entire industry broke through within 2 years, domestic capital and foreign capital started a crazy investment model, will there be an economic crisis?
The United States and the West, which are deeply tied to the dollar, will not be able to get better. Will China's independent settlement system collapse?
At that time, which country had the best investment environment in the world?
Global capital will flock to China, saying that China wants an economic crisis......
What is the correct answer?
Let me tell you the simplest thing first. The amount of U.S. debt held by China is second only to Japan, and it is the second largest shareholder of the U.S. overseas.
For example, you are the second shareholder of Tudou Media. You hold 10% of the shares and 10 million shares. Now you think that Tudou Media is going to die. If you want to get rid of the situation, how do you sell 10% of the shares?
Are you selling them all at once? hang all out? Selling out 10 million shares in one day?
If you do this, you won't be able to sell a share, because no one dares to buy it.
It must be in batches and batches, and gradually sell with increasing and decreasing. Sell 10,000 shares today, sell 30,000 shares tomorrow, and sometimes buy back 1,000 shares one day, right?
Of course, some people may be anxious right away, saying why don't we sell all the U.S. debt at a low price in one go, and then the U.S. debt will collapse?
Let me just say this, even if you want to sell one trillion U.S. debt a day, the U.S. debt will not collapse, otherwise you will think the United States is stupid.
Because at this time, none of the countries and international investment institutions dare to buy, but! The United States will immediately launch unlimited QE, that is, the Fed will print unlimited money to buy U.S. debt, and they will buy as much as you have.
This matter, they did it when the epidemic broke out in 2020. It did hit the confidence of the US debt, but it did not collapse.
And if we sell all the U.S. debt directly in one day, it would be a pity that we will directly turn the table with the United States. Is this the time?
In the current overall situation, the internationalization of RMB is advancing rapidly, and more and more countries adopt RMB for settlement, which is obviously beneficial to us. Why should we disrupt our rhythm?
Why take a risk when there is a sure-win situation?
Let's get back to it, why buy U.S. bonds?
I have a sales strategy for selling steamed stuffed buns in my breakfast business. It is more expensive during prime time, and cheaper during normal times. When it’s time to close the stall, you can just buy one and get three free. So why sell U.S. debt and sell it all at once?
In fact, China sold 200 billion U.S. debt in 14 months and bought it while selling it. Why did it do this?
Let's just look at the data:
In April, China's surplus was 618.4 billion yuan, a surge of 96% compared with the same period last year;
The key question is that last year we had a surplus of 1/3 of the world's total. If this trend continues, it is estimated that this year we will have a surplus of 2/5 of the world's total. Then the question arises, how do we spend so much foreign exchange and so many dollars?
Buy a lithography machine or a stake in an American technology company? None of them will be sold to you.
As we said last time, the current approach is to use the U.S. dollar to promote the internationalization of the renminbi, and lend it to countries like Brazil to let them repay the renminbi, but it still cannot be spent.
Not only that, but they are still selling U.S. debt. From the peak of U.S. debt until now, more than 450 billion U.S. debt has been sold, which means that there are more and more U.S. dollars, so what should I do?
Is it necessary to rationally allocate assets? Moreover, the interest rate of U.S. bonds in the past was almost 0, but now the interest rate of some U.S. bonds is close to 5 points due to the Fed’s interest rate hike and the slow sales of U.S. bonds. Is it possible to buy a little?
We have to make it clear that the U.S. dollar is issued by the Federal Reserve, and U.S. debt is issued by the U.S. government. They are almost equivalent U.S. dollar assets and have the same credit. Because the U.S. dollar collapses, U.S. debt will collapse. It will collapse.
You know, under the premise of such a large surplus and the influx of a large amount of US dollars, our total foreign exchange reserves actually fell, and only increased by 0.66% in April;
In other words, now, we are selling US dollar assets far faster than earning US dollar assets.
The general trend of China’s selling of U.S. debt will not change, but there will be fine-tuning at some points. Let’s talk about a few aspects.
Biden has just finished the G7 meeting, and he has to rush back to the United States in a hurry. What will he do when he goes back? Negotiating the US debt ceiling with the Republican Party, there are still 10 days left, and the US debt is about to default, but why can't the ceiling be reached?
One aspect is that the two parties are in the same position to kill each other, and the other aspect is that even if according to Yellen's statement, Biden issued 50 trillion U.S. debt, it is useless!
Because no one bought it!
Now the world has the most dollars in hands, and last year the largest surpluses were China, Russia, Saudi Arabia...
If China does not buy it, do you think other countries will buy it?
So why did Brinken Yellen and the others go to China for a business trip, but they were rejected by China, and they still applied repeatedly?
Because I want to ask China for help! The only thing that can save America now is China...
Yellen came here to tell China: Look, our United States collapsed, and your China collapsed.
China says fuck me, you think I'm a fool! Don't come, go where you love to be cool and cool!
Let me tell you what China said, if you collapse at 10 o'clock this morning, Japan will kneel down and call me Dad at 3 minutes past 10 o'clock! Japan said that I would burn the Yasukuni toilets at night, and said that if Wa Dao didn't come back obediently, I would clean him up for you when I was a child, and I would never let my Chinese father worry about it.
Then why did the United States release a report in a hurry not long ago, saying that China bought 20.6 billion U.S. debt, and the United States is declaring it to the world:
You see, China has bought U.S. bonds. This is the strongest credit guarantee. Buy it quickly, don’t worry, I can’t cheat you...
Hehe, let me tell you that the sales data of U.S. debt is delayed by two months. When the data is released next month, the U.S. will be stupid again, because it bought 200, and it is estimated to throw 400... ..
This weekend, a lot of things, so much to write.
Anyway, the United States is calling China to buy U.S. bonds every day, just to fool the whole world into buying them together.
And many people have been fooled, thinking that saving the United States is saving China, which is simply nonsense.
I think what I said today is clear enough. Since last week, a bunch of people have left messages on my account, saying that China has surrendered and bought U.S. bonds again.
I'm so speechless, is this called surrender?
From the 1.3 trillion U.S. debt at the peak, it has been sold to more than 8,000 now. Is this called surrender?
So what is non-surrender? Throw it all at once?
If you want to argue like this, I will ask you, do you buy a mobile phone or not?
Is the mobile phone you buy guaranteed 100% free of any American components and technologies?
Then according to this logic, if you can't guarantee it, you are a traitor, and you are supporting the enemy...
Otherwise, if you use American technology and components every day, why should China sell US debt and still say you have surrendered?
Isn't this too double standard?
继开放海参崴后，普京又有对库页岛松口的意思，不得不说，俄乌冲突这一仗彻底打醒俄罗斯，终于发现向西看不现实，中国才是真朋友。
近日，中俄两国在远东地区的合作吸引了全世界目光。经过同俄罗斯的谈判，我国黑龙江和吉林在时隔一百多年后，终于可以将内贸货物经由俄罗斯的海参崴港，然后再装运到我国沿海其他地方，这意味着我国东北地区期待已久的日本海出海口终于得到打通。
好事成双，就在海参崴之后，普京又在另外一个地方似乎要对中国松口了。中俄合作的下一站，是库页岛，也就是俄方口中的萨哈林岛。
据俄罗斯卫星通讯社报道，普京允许中国参与库页岛的开发建设，目前双方已经启动了一个巨大的国际投资项目。中国已经往这个岛上运送了几十台工作设备，可见项目正在落地实施。
按照俄罗斯方面的说法，来自中国的合作伙伴计划在这里建造一个综合体项目，包括煤场，火力发电厂，木材加工厂等。如果项目全部落地成功，那么将为该地区提供至少800人的就业岗位，可以为当地政府带来巨大税收。
从这些具体的工厂情况不难看出，库页岛上的自然资源非常丰富，特别是和木材。所以不难预见，和俄罗斯共同开发库页岛，我们能够得到更多的原材料和能源。
别看近来俄罗斯在远东地区与中国合作频频，其实中国参与该地区的合作开发建设是件很不容易的事情。
在过去几十年，俄罗斯一直对中国严防死守，对于相关合作事宜持有非常谨慎的态度。但是大家也都知道，自从去年2月份俄乌冲突爆发以来，在美西方国家的联合包围制裁下，俄罗斯这才发现，中国才是俄罗斯真正的朋友。
冲突爆发前，俄罗斯一直把自己的经济重心放在欧洲，与亚洲的合作向来不多。毕竟对于当时的俄罗斯来说，赚取美元或者欧元，总比人民币划算。
虽说之前俄罗斯也出台过一些联合开发远东的政策，但往往是雷声大雨点小，得不到具体的落实。而俄乌冲突爆发后，意识到向西看已不再可能的俄罗斯，坚定了向东看的决心。所以把被视为“禁脔”的远东地区也逐步对中国开放。
当然，中国庞大的市场足以让俄方的能源发挥最大经济价值。两国不断深化的战略合作伙伴关系，也会因此更上一层楼，同时也为世界和平稳定注入更多的确定性因素。
当然，值得我们注意的是，虽然中俄合作愈发密切，但是双方都罕见保持着低调的态度，没有在国际社会上大加宣扬。
从根本上来说，双方对此保持低调，还是希望降低美西方国家对中俄靠近的警惕心理。按照西方的作派，即便中俄已经够低调了，造谣抹黑依然是少不了的。
日前，法国总统马克龙抛出的所谓俄罗斯沦为中国附庸的言论，就是典型代表之一。在这种背景下，中俄自然是本着闷声发大财的原则，不去触西方的霉头了。
中亚五国是杵在中国西北方的“世界最大资源地”，可长期以来，这个地方一直是被忽视的存在。直到今年5月18日至19日，中国-中亚峰会在中国西安举行时，中亚才逐渐成为“热词”。
了解中亚，先得清楚具体中亚五国，它们分别是：哈萨克斯坦、吉尔吉斯斯坦、塔吉克斯坦、乌兹别克斯坦和土库曼斯坦。其中，哈萨克斯坦、吉尔吉斯斯坦和塔吉克斯坦三国与中国是邻国，边境线长达3000多千米。
一，中亚五国过去一直与俄罗斯深度绑定，它为何会突然地倒向中国呢？
答：中亚五国的特殊地理位置注定，它要获得发展，只有三个选项。中亚是亚欧大陆的咽喉之地：北接俄罗斯，南邻中东，东靠中国。
这三个地方里，中东内部一片狼藉，中亚想靠它几乎不可能。
俄罗斯在过去的很长一段时间里，曾是中亚的依靠。
以哈萨克斯坦（以下简称哈国）为例，这个国家比另外四个“斯坦”国加起来还要大两倍，这个大的国家要发展，自然需要与其他国家进行经济往来。可因为种种原因，哈国的产品只有俄罗斯要。
经济在任何时候都能决定很多东西，因为经济与俄罗斯捆绑的哈国，国内的人不仅普遍学习俄语，而且国内一度出现了“亲俄罗斯团体”，加上俄罗斯长期在哈国等国有驻军，哈国与俄罗斯自然地“深度绑定”了。
哈国如此，其他中亚国家亦是如此。2019年，国际共和研究所曾针对吉国的1483名公民，进行了一项民意调查。这项调查中，95%的受访者将吉国和俄罗斯的关系评为“良好”，有88%的受访者认为，俄罗斯是吉国最重要的经济伙伴。
调研报告还给出了各国对吉国的国家影响力的具体排名，其中俄罗斯排在第一位，中国排在欧盟之后，居第六位。
然而，俄乌冲突爆发后，俄罗斯和中亚的绑定出现了明显松动，这除了因为俄罗斯近年经济状况不佳，无法在经济上持续给予中亚五国福利外，还因为：随着战局的变动，俄罗斯本身自顾不暇，它已无心管顾中亚五国。
另一方面，俄乌冲突后，欧美瞅准时机，开始将手伸向俄罗斯“后院”中亚，欧美介入后，中亚五国开始“去俄化”，他们可以与俄罗斯保持距离。
近期，更是有消息传出，一贯在俄乌冲突问题上保持中立的中亚国家还考虑加入西方对俄制裁。面对此种种，我们真的只能感叹：此一时，彼一时！
那么问题又来了，既然欧美将手伸向了中亚，且美国经济总量又达到了25万亿美元，具备在中亚进行投资、推动中亚经济发展的能力。中亚五国为何没有直接倒向欧美呢？答案与俄罗斯的介入有关。
前面我们提到，中亚五国相当于俄罗斯的“后院”，既是后院，又岂容欧美国家染指？俄罗斯非常清楚，一旦中亚倒向欧美，下一步，中亚将变成欧美的棋子。届时，美国势必会在中亚建立军事基地和部署军队，进一步威胁俄罗斯。
俄乌冲突期间，面对欧美“伸手”向中亚的事实，俄罗斯及时介入。不过，它的介入方式是向外部寻求力量，而这个外部力量，正是中国。
换句话说，中国在俄乌冲突期间与中亚五国加强经贸合作，在某种程度上，能帮助俄罗斯抵消欧美在中亚的影响力，从而打断美国的计划。
中国自古讲“仁义道德”，但我们在关键时刻将手伸向中亚，也不纯粹是“做好事”。毕竟，中国早已清楚：国与国之间，最主要还是“利”字当头。中国在决心伸手向中亚前，俄罗斯已经让出了部分利益，他们前段时间将“远东禁脔”海参崴借道中国，就是“让出”利益的部分。
说到底，中亚五国和中国加强经济合作，也是基于自身利益的考虑。对于中亚五国而言：倒向中国比倒向美国更好。
首先，美国的经济虽然强于中国，但包括哈国在内的中亚五国，它们与美国毕竟属于“远水”：隔得太远了。中国古话说“远水难救近火”，在经济上也是如此。
中亚和美国相隔太远，除了贸易往来的运输成本高昂外，还存在一个生活习惯的差异问题。别的不说，中亚国家的土特产，美国就压根儿吃受不住。而美国本国的商品，中亚五国又往往买不起。“贸易”最重要是“易”，即交换，既有“吃受不住”，又有“交换不起”又何以会有“贸易”呢？
而中国则相反，中国不仅与中亚五国毗邻，而且中国还有无数廉价的工业品，可以让哈国老百姓生活质量大幅提升。同时，中国人民对中亚五国的各种土特产，也是很有兴趣。这，不是两全其美吗？
其次，美国与中亚五国，在某种程度上属于竞争国。中亚五国资源丰富，他们盛产石油。在中亚以及里海地区，石油储量是1500-2000亿桶，占世界石油储量的百分之十八到百分之二十五左右。这意味着：中亚的石油储量，仅次于中东。
中亚是富油国，俄罗斯、美国也是富油国，这个事实注定：它们是互相竞争关系。反观中国，我们虽不是贫油国，可我们六七成的原油需要进口。对石油的巨大需求，让中国和中亚完美“合槽”。
中国需要大量的资源，中亚各国的油气，尤其哈国的油气可以送到新疆后直接并入已经修好的油气管道。
长远看，中亚倒向中国，将使中哈形成一种互补互利的稳定的可持续关系。未来，能源管道和铁路链接起来的“钢铁-油气-金钱”纽带，将成为延续“丝绸之路”的存在。
从来，能双赢才能走远。中亚和中国，恰已具备走向“双赢”的条件。
二，中亚倒向西方，将给中国、俄罗斯和世界格局带来哪些具体影响？
第一，中亚倒向中国对中国的影响：将推动中国的“一带一路”。
西汉时期的丝绸之路，出了新疆就是中亚，所以，丝绸之路所联结的第一批国家实际就是中亚的几个国家。
其中，塔国就位于古代丝绸之路的交汇点上，三条主要的丝绸古道横贯全境。塔国首都杜尚别是古丝绸之路的重要一站，其名字的意思为“星期一”，之所以叫这个名字，是因为此地每到星期一时，这座丝路重镇总是商贾云集。
乌国更是著名的丝绸之路古国，也是中亚地区丝路文化遗存最丰富的国家。
今天的“一带一路”，实际就是沿袭了丝绸之路的路线，我们的第一批联结国依旧是中亚诸国。毕竟，中亚的地理位置已注定：它是中国对外贸易的三大陆地贸易窗口之一。可以说，中国“一带一路”倡议若想实现，搞定中亚是其中非常关键的一环。
5月18日到19日的中国-中亚峰会之所以选在丝绸之路东方起点西安，其背后的深意不言自明。千年后，中亚五国元首齐聚西安，将续写的不仅是千年友谊，还将是崭新的未来。
第二，中亚倒向中国对俄罗斯的影响：抵消了美国势力对俄罗斯的影响。
前文我们提到：近年来，俄罗斯对中亚的控制方式已不多，俄乌冲突后，中亚的“去俄罗斯化”也越发严重了。
对于俄罗斯而言，此时的中亚已经不再能起“后院”的作用，它更像一个期待更大发展想要“分家”的孩子。可这“孩子”毕竟住在俄罗斯隔壁，所以，如果被不信任的人拿捏着，后果将不堪设想。
相比中亚倒向美欧，它们倒向中国多少让俄罗斯觉得“松了一口气”。首先，这将意味着他们至少不用担心美欧将军事基地设到“后院”来。其次，他们也不用再花太大心思操心这个闹着“分家”的孩子了，后院也就稳了。
过去，俄罗斯一直阻碍中国和中亚国家的正常交往，最典型的阻挡体现在“中吉乌”铁路的修建上。
“中吉乌”铁路早在21世纪初就已被提出，它一直未被通过，就是因为俄罗斯的阻挡。过去的俄罗斯认为：一旦“中吉乌”铁路打通，中国通往南欧和波斯湾的距离将大大缩减路程。那样，中国生产的大量廉价商品，将能更快地被运送到中亚地区，从而促进波斯湾和南欧国家的经济发展。
俄罗斯的逻辑里：一旦中亚国家尝到经济发展的甜头，中国和中亚诸国势必会将俄罗斯边缘化。
此一时彼一时，俄乌冲突后的俄罗斯终于想通了：中亚变富有，俄罗斯的“后院”不就稳了吗？稳了，美国和各方势力想在这一块使“幺蛾子”不就不可能了吗？
毫无疑问，中亚倒向中国对此时的俄罗斯而言，是有利的！
第三，中亚倒向中国，将使亚欧大陆经济连成一体，从而打破已有的世界格局。
中亚倒向中国，在某种程度上将意味着亚欧大陆连成一体。亚欧大陆是地球上最大的一块大陆，它占到了全球陆地面积的五分之二，囊括世界人口的十分之九。当它们连成一体时，那些游离于亚欧大陆之外的国家，会一个个地变成“孤岛”。
目前的世界是海权主导，既以海上航道为支撑；可中亚倒向中国后，中国的铁路直接修到中亚各国，并一路延伸后，陆权将打破海权的主导地位，成为与它并行的存在。
欧亚大陆在交通上实现一体化之时，亦是其经济实现一体化之时。届时，美元霸权很自然地会被打破，世界将迎来区域货币一体化的时代。
结论：中亚倒向中国是一件大好事，但中国必须做好准备，才能真正实现各方利益最大化
耶伦来了就是想代表美国告诉中国：你看，我们美国崩了，你中国跟着崩啊。
中国说我勒个去，你当我是傻×啊！你别来了，爱哪里凉快哪里凉快去！
中国说我就告诉你一点，如果你今天上午10点崩，10点过3分日本就会跪下来管我叫爸爸！日本还说晚上我就去把靖国厕所烧了，接着说如果蛙岛不乖乖回来，我小日子帮你去收拾他，绝对不让中国爸爸操心。
那为什么前不久美国急吼吼的发布了报告，高调说中国买了美债呢，美国就是昭告天下：
你们看啊，中国都买美债了，你还有啥不放心的？这就是最强信用保证啊，你们赶紧买，放心，我坑不了你们.....
最近，美国财政部放出了消息，说中国在3月份购买了205亿的美债。
很多人看了这个消息，记得上蹿下跳，烧心挠肺的傻眼了，天天到我的留言板喊说你看中国投降了。
咱们今天好好掰扯下这个事情，一般周6是我最忙的一天，今天我写简单点，但一定把事情聊清楚。
对于这个事情啊，很多博主开始分析了，似乎分析得有鼻子有眼的，他们怎么说的呢。
第一，如果我们不买美债，美债就崩了，美国崩了，我们手里还有8600亿美债，不就成废纸了吗，所以，为了不让8600亿美债成废纸，我们必须救美国。
第二，美国如果崩了，不就经济危机了吗，那中国不就很多人失业吗，所以我们必须要救美国。
说实话，我看了这些博主的话啊，分析得有鼻子有眼的，我都笑尿了。
这不又是救美国就是救中国那一套吗？
不买美债，美国就崩了，中国跟着崩？
这没200年脑血栓真想不出来这样的话好不好。
我就说个最简单的事情，美国崩了，芯片突破是不是指日可待，光刻机还敢不给我们卖吗？
美国崩了，那谁将成为全球一哥？是印度还是韩国？心里没数吗？
美国崩了，蛙岛是不是哭着喊着求回来？蔡逆是不是只能逃到中美洲去了？
美国崩了，日本是不是跪下来叫我们爸爸？求我们清算军国主义的时候别下手那么狠？
美国崩了，什么货币将成为国际货币？
其它的我就不说了，就以上这些成果，让你花8600亿美债的代价去换，你换不换？
很多博主居然说不行啊，这样一来，我们8600亿美债不就成废纸了吗？
我就想问这尼玛是人类的逻辑吗？
合着想让美国崩溃，一分钱都不愿意花？
美国打个阿富汗都花了2万亿美元，我们要把美国打败，一分钱都舍不得？
第二种说法更逗，说美国崩了，中国会经济危机。
太搞笑了吧，美国崩，任何国家经济危机都轮不到中国头上来，美元资产成了废纸，中国企业会疯狂的跑到美国去抄底。
美国崩了，中国2年内全产业突破，国内资本和国外资本开启疯狂投资模式，会经济危机？
与美元捆绑深刻的美西方集团各个都好不了，中国是独立结算体系会崩？
那个时候，全球最好投资环境的国家是哪个？
全球资本会蜂拥汇集中国，居然说中国要经济危机.......
那正确答案是什么呢？
我先说个最简单的事情，中国目前持有的美债数量仅次于日本，算是美国海外的第二大股东。
比如你是土豆传媒的二股东，你持有10%的股权，一千万的股票，你现在觉得土豆传媒要完蛋了，你想要解套，你怎么抛售10%的股权？
是一口气全部拿出去卖吗？全部挂出去？一天卖光一千万股？
你要这样干，一股都卖不掉，因为没人敢买。
肯定是分批分次，有增有减的逐步卖啊，今天卖一万股，明天卖三万股，有时候某天还买回来一千股，对不对？
当然，可能有人马上就急眼了，说那我们干嘛不一口气低价抛售所有的美债，那美债不就崩了吗？
我就这么说吧，就算你想一天抛售一万亿的美债，美债也崩不了，否则你当美国傻啊。
因为这个时候，所有的国家和国际投资机构都没人敢买，但是！美国就会马上启动无限QE，就是美联储无限印钞收购美债，你有多少他们买多少。
这个事情，他们2020年疫情爆发的时候就干过，确实对美债信心打击很大，但也没有崩盘啊。
而如果我们直接一天抛售所有的美债，那就是图穷匕见，和美国直接掀桌子干了，现在到这个时候了吗？
目前的总体局势，人民币国际化不断快速推进，越来越多的国家采用人民币结算，明显对我们有利，为什么要打乱自己的节奏？
稳赢的局面为什么要冒险？
我们话说回来，为啥买美债呢？
我做个早餐生意卖包子都要有个销售策略，黄金时间卖贵点，平常的时候便宜点，等要收摊的时候直接买一送3，那为啥卖美债就要一把清空呢？
事实上，中国在14个月抛售了2000亿的美债也是在边抛边买，为什么这么做呢？
我们随便看个数据：
4月，中国顺差6184亿元，对比去年同期暴涨96%；
关键问题是，去年我们已经顺差了全球的1/3，按照这个趋势下去，今年估计会顺差全球的2/5，那问题来了，这么多外汇，这么多美元，怎么花？
买光刻机还是美国科技公司的股份？都不给你卖。
我们上次说了，现在的做法是用美元推进人民币国际化，借给如巴西这样的国家让他们还人民币，但还是花不完。
不仅如此，还在抛售美债，从美债最高峰截止到现在，抛售了4500亿以上的美债了，也就是说美元越来越多，那怎么办？
是不是要合理配置资产，而且，以往的美债利率几乎是0，而现在的美债由于美联储加息和美债的滞销，部分美债利率都接近5个点了，那是不是可以买一点？
我们要搞清楚一点，美元是美联储发行的，美债是美国政府发行的，他们本来就是几乎对等的美元资产，信用一样，因为美元崩了，美债必崩，美债崩了，美元也必崩。
要知道，在如此大顺差，大量美元融入的前提下，我们的外汇总储备居然还是下降的，仅仅是在4月份上升了0.66%;
也就是说，现在，我们抛售美元资产的速度，远远比挣美元资产的速度快。
中国抛售美债的总体趋势是不会改变的，只是在部分节点上会有微调，我们谈几个方面。
拜登G7会议刚开完，就要急吼吼的赶回美国去，回去做什么呢？和共和党协商美债上限，现在还有10天，美债就要违约了，但是为啥还不能达成上限呢？
一个方面是两党势同水火要相互干死对方，另外一个方面，是就算按照耶伦的说法，拜登发行了50万亿的美债，也没卵用！
因为没人买！
现在全球手中美元最多，去年顺差最大的就是中国、俄罗斯、沙特......
中国不买，你觉得其它国家会买吗？
所以为什么布林肯耶伦他们撒泼打滚都要到中国来出差，被中国拒绝了，依然再三打申请？
因为要找中国救命啊！现在唯一能救美国的就是中国了......
耶伦来了就是想告诉中国：你看，我们美国崩了，你中国跟着崩啊。
中国说我勒个去，你当我是傻×啊！你别来了，爱哪里凉快哪里凉快去！
中国说我就告诉你一点，如果你今天上午10点崩，10点过3分日本就会跪下来管我叫爸爸！日本说晚上我就去把靖国厕所烧了，还说如果蛙岛不乖乖回来，我小日子帮你去收拾他，绝对不让中国爸爸操心。
那为什么前不久美国急吼吼的发布了报告，高调说中国买了206亿的美债呢，美国就是昭告天下：
你们看啊，中国都买美债了，这就是最强信用保证啊，你们赶紧买，放心，我坑不了你们.....
呵呵，我就告诉大家，美债的销售数据，是要滞后两个月的，等到下个月公布数据的时候，美国又要傻×了，因为买了200，估计又抛了400.....
今天周末，好多事情，就写这么多了。
反正，美国现在天天喊中国买美债了，就是想忽悠全世界一起买。
而很多人跟着上当了，以为救美国就是救中国，简直太扯淡了。
我想今天说的够清晰了，从上周开始，一堆人在我的号上面留言，说中国投降了，又买美债了。
我简直太无语了，这就叫投降了？
从最高峰的时候1.3万亿美债，抛售到现在的8000多，这叫投降？
那啥叫不投降？一口气全抛？
你要这样抬杠我就问你，你买手机不买？
你买的手机是不是100%保证没有任何美国的元器件和美国技术？
那按照这个逻辑，你要不能保证，你就是汉奸，你就是在资敌......
否则，你都天天用美国技术和元器件，凭啥中国抛售美债还在你嘴里成投降了？
这也太双标了吧？
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